NDG wrote:Even with the Euro's further east with development on its 0z run it still dumps some much needed rains in SE FL this weekend as the disturbance lifts to the NE.
Obviously a more shift to the west brings heavier rains to the rest of SE FL.
https://i.imgur.com/h8hvnRB.png
https://i.imgur.com/ySUgdPG.png
Right NDG. This is what I was seeing as well in prior runs. The moisture shield in its developmental stages still have it over much of Southeast Florida. This is why I stated earlier that any more shifts west in the formative stages of the cyclone could have significant effects for much of Southeast Florida this weekend. This is why I stated earlier there are still variables on the table and we have to watch this very closely with future model runs.