ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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DestinHurricane
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4601 Postby DestinHurricane » Sun Aug 02, 2020 3:51 am

Doesn't at all feel like a strong TS here im Boca. We are supposed to be about to get the western "eyewall" but just 20mph winds right now.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4602 Postby itglobalsecure » Sun Aug 02, 2020 3:55 am

Just nothing here in West Boca. Hard to believe given that loop.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4603 Postby eastcoastFL » Sun Aug 02, 2020 3:56 am

DestinHurricane wrote:Doesn't at all feel like a strong TS here im Boca. We are supposed to be about to get the western "eyewall" but just 20mph winds right now.


Peak winds in boca should be from about 6-9 am but not too heavy

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... =graphical
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4604 Postby DestinHurricane » Sun Aug 02, 2020 3:57 am

itglobalsecure wrote:Just nothing here in West Boca. Hard to believe given that loop.


I would think too be expected given the loop. Looks like a tiny tiny ring around the "eye". It's just a naked swirl. Not usually strong winds with that.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4605 Postby eastcoastFL » Sun Aug 02, 2020 3:57 am

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 79.5W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM ENE OF FORT LAUDERDALE FLORIDA
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4606 Postby eastcoastFL » Sun Aug 02, 2020 3:58 am

ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning along the east coast of Florida has been
replaced with a Tropical Storm Warning.

The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northward along the
southeast United States coast to South Santee River South Carolina.

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued from Edisto Beach South
Carolina northward to Cape Fear North Carolina.

The Tropical Storm Watch has been extended northward to Surf City,
North Carolina.

The Tropical Storm Warning along the coast of Florida has been
discontinued south of Hallandale Beach.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4607 Postby eastcoastFL » Sun Aug 02, 2020 4:01 am

Looks like once again the Bahamas will take the brunt of the storm.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4608 Postby DestinHurricane » Sun Aug 02, 2020 4:03 am

eastcoastFL wrote:Looks like once again the Bahamas will take the brunt of the storm.


Yep. Pretty much a non event for FL. I'm certainly not getting anything worst than an afternoon thunderstorm here.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4609 Postby Hurricane Mike » Sun Aug 02, 2020 4:03 am

Still nasty weather for poor Grand Bahama Island
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4610 Postby eastcoastFL » Sun Aug 02, 2020 4:04 am

DestinHurricane wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:Looks like once again the Bahamas will take the brunt of the storm.


Yep. Pretty much a non event for FL. I'm certainly not getting anything worst than an afternoon thunderstorm here.


It’s kinda weird. I’d you look at the wind field map boca is in a weird pocket outside the wind field. It has an odd shape

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... k#contents
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4611 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Aug 02, 2020 4:07 am

eastcoastFL wrote:Looks like once again the Bahamas will take the brunt of the storm.


Yeah, the Bahamas have really had it rough the past 11 months with monster Dorian, Isaias, and the COVID-19 pandemic on top of all that.

Please keep the Bahamian people in your thoughts and prayers!
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4612 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Aug 02, 2020 4:23 am

DestinHurricane wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:Looks like once again the Bahamas will take the brunt of the storm.


Yep. Pretty much a non event for FL. I'm certainly not getting anything worst than an afternoon thunderstorm here.


Now, it is not over yet The cyclone will bring a strong on shore flow as it moves along up the East Coast the next 24 hours, and there is a threat of storm surge up here in the Saint Johns River and Intracoastal Waterway , especially during the time of high tidelate tonight into early Monday along the Northeast Florida Coast.

Plus, we will see wind to TS ,with some higher gusts at the beach.

So, this still points toward a rather significant event before its all said and done for East Central and Northeast Florida.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4613 Postby Hurricane Mike » Sun Aug 02, 2020 4:28 am

Morning video update on Isaias
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IeZmN4fCt_s
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4614 Postby DestinHurricane » Sun Aug 02, 2020 4:37 am

Honestly think our strongest winds were in that squall line yesterday afternoon.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4615 Postby caneman » Sun Aug 02, 2020 5:11 am

NHC did a fantastic job on track and strength by predicting all of the obstacles well in advance. They seem to be getting better and better at predicting intensity. We are well equipped to handle this in Florida. Thankfully it didnt turn out worse with all the COVID stuff.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4616 Postby NDG » Sun Aug 02, 2020 5:25 am

The one thing that I am eating crow is that I did not believed the models showing how much shear and dry air Isaias was to going to have in NW Bahamas and over the gulf stream, this has been an area in which conditions were fairly good in the past couple of years.
It had way better UL conditions in the Caribbean than in this area, that should be a warning for the Caribbean Islands once the dust settles down later this month.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4617 Postby NDG » Sun Aug 02, 2020 5:29 am

Hurricane Mike wrote:Morning video update on Isaias
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IeZmN4fCt_s


Great video as always Mike! I still remember when you and Zack used to do recordings together, way back in the day, if memory serves me correct.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4618 Postby xironman » Sun Aug 02, 2020 5:38 am

Pulse up in IR convection just like the CAMs predicted, but the shear is just brutal now so probably for naught.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4619 Postby NDG » Sun Aug 02, 2020 5:43 am

Hard to believe for you in SE FL that there's a storm just a few miles offshore, but due to the shear the worst of the wx is well offshore.

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4620 Postby DestinHurricane » Sun Aug 02, 2020 5:47 am

Florida has dodged yet another bullet. I'm not sure how many bullets they can dodge!
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