ATL: BETA - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
CMC keeps it hanging around Northern Mexico/Extreme Southern Texas. Unreal, this season.
Last edited by SoupBone on Wed Sep 16, 2020 11:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
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TallahasseeMan
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Quite a spread in 12z guidance, GFS takes it to New Orleans, CMC has it hover off the coast of extreme south Texas, northern Mexico. Will be curious to see what UKMET and the Euro go with.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
TallahasseeMan wrote:Quite a spread in 12z guidance, GFS takes it to New Orleans, CMC has it hover off the coast of extreme south Texas, northern Mexico. Will be curious to see what UKMET and the Euro go with.
12Z UKMET: N MX bound
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 22.4N 95.1W
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.09.2020 120 22.7N 94.8W 1003 35
0000UTC 22.09.2020 132 23.2N 95.4W 1001 38
1200UTC 22.09.2020 144 23.9N 96.4W 996 48
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
12Z GEFS has many of the 21 members go into MX. However, similar to the 6Z, it has ~20% of the members coming into or near LA.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
12z HWRF develops a teeny tiny TC out of this in 36-42 hours.
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stormlover2013
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
At h66 HWRF has a 993 mb system moving to the NE to near 25.4n and 92.0w for 90L
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TallahasseeMan
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
HWRF at hr 66 is heading towards LA.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Weak but still not wanted.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
The HWRF is this Sunday!
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BigB0882
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
The HWRF, with the way it has been performing, absolutely gets my attention. Far too soon (especially this season) to focus on a track or landfall location but I'll pay close attention the strength from the HWRF.
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catskillfire51
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
notice the HWRF has a shift to the west as it approaches Louisiana as well.
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Wx_Warrior
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
stormlover2013 wrote:Ukmet isn’t Mexico
Heading WNW into NMex at 144
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Quite a spread from the models. From Louisiana to NE Mexico.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
stormlover2013 wrote:Ukmet isn’t Mexico
It isn't MX but it is headed in that direction at 144 heading WNW at 23.9N, 96.4W:
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
12z Euro.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Looking at the end of the HWRF, I wonder of it re-emerges into the GoM after raking across Louisiana, then over Houston.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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