ATL: TEDDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#341 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:50 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
toad strangler wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:Still got some CDG in there although not quite as much as earlier, but still impressive for an Atlantic storm. Now he has to wrap it all the way around, if he can do that, easily a major.
https://i.imgur.com/IvTY8YT.gif


Huh? What do you mean "Impressive for an Atlantic Storm" LOL :lol: There have been MANY far more impressive.

Oh yeah most definitely. I just meant we don't see CDG all that often over here :lol: And yes just 2020


Wrapping CDG all the way around a clear eye is almost always a category 5 hurricane. That would be a minimum T7.0 even if the eye wasn't spectacular.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#342 Postby Ubuntwo » Thu Sep 17, 2020 12:26 am

Image
Ominous IR presentation.
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Kendall -> SLO -> PBC

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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#343 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Sep 17, 2020 12:47 am



What is the highest Dvorak number possible without an eye? T5.0 on an embedded center?
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#344 Postby ClarCari » Thu Sep 17, 2020 12:56 am

Cold Tops are starting to rotate around the center more inward and tightly. Should indicate pressure dropping down in the center and you can guess the rest. I hope recon is fun tomorrow..
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#345 Postby storminabox » Thu Sep 17, 2020 1:34 am

I don’t see why everyone is suddenly doubting Teddy. I believe the NHC was wrong to bump down its intensity.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#346 Postby Extratropical94 » Thu Sep 17, 2020 1:39 am

cycloneye wrote:Goes down to 80kts.

20L TEDDY 200917 0000 17.6N 51.0W ATL 80 973


BT is up to 85kts again, and the 00Z intensity has also been revised to 85

AL, 20, 2020091700, , BEST, 0, 174N, 511W, 85, 973, HU
AL, 20, 2020091706, , BEST, 0, 180N, 520W, 85, 973, HU
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#347 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Sep 17, 2020 1:53 am

I'd personally estimate 90 kt - assuming a T5.0 analysis. For all we know, Recon may find a major (Joaquin had a similar structure and incredibly deep cloud tops in 2015).
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#348 Postby Keldeo1997 » Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:07 am

Image

Image

ADT is going crazy. Raw T of 7.7 with a Pinhole
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#349 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:08 am

Here we go...

Image
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Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#350 Postby ClarCari » Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:12 am

 https://twitter.com/b_carp01/status/1306489351585648642




Teddy: “I heard yall were talking cr@p about me last night :grrr: ”
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#351 Postby PavelGaborik10 » Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:18 am

I would be surprised if this doesn't have 115 MPH winds right now.

What a beast of a storm.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#352 Postby Blinhart » Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:25 am

Looks like a strengthening Cat 3 storm, could very easily make it to Cat 5. Highly unlikely but with the way this season is going could go for Tip and Patricia records.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#353 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:42 am

best looking "cat 1" i've seen in the atlantic for sure.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#354 Postby ClarCari » Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:46 am

Image

Eyewall is completely closed. Nothing’s gonna be stopping this for awhile!
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#355 Postby storm4u » Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:54 am

Once recon goes in I'm sure winds will be higher.. Then let the hype begin
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#356 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Sep 17, 2020 3:21 am



WOW! Incredible imagery.!
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#357 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 17, 2020 3:59 am

Teddy's ready to blow into a major Image
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#358 Postby abajan » Thu Sep 17, 2020 4:14 am

mrbagyo wrote:Teddy's ready to blow into a major https://s1.gifyu.com/images/20200917_164327.gif

I'm surprised it wasn't upgraded to that in the 5 AM advisory.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#359 Postby SconnieCane » Thu Sep 17, 2020 4:22 am

NHC seems pretty set on the recurve scenario, showing it losing longitude at the 120HR point as it nears 40N. Are they discounting the model solutions that show it getting captured and yanked west in a case of "I don't even wanna go there"?
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#360 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Sep 17, 2020 4:56 am

130kt is a good bet for peak intensity.
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