HurricaneEnzo wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:HurricaneEnzo wrote:Needs to maintain longer before they will pull the trigger. Other than that looks completely classifiable. Shear is likely to just blow all the convection away and leave a naked swirl in a couple of hours though. If it defies the shear until late this evening they might feel comfortable enough to make the call.
again.. pulsing convection for the last 24 hours..
the day and life of a sheared TC.. completely classifiable. and from ASCAT and TS>>
No where near organized enough yesterday. This is by far the best it has looked in its existence and should it hold together for a few more hours probably will get classified. Yesterday it was nothing but an elongated looking circ with minimal convection barfing out outflow boundaries everywhere. No way that should have been classified.
Oh but Laura east of islands was a more well defined center and convection? lol wind field was closed ASCAT was a mess of crap. convcetion was in a blob so far removed...
only difference really is laura had a future according to the models. this according to the models wont have a future until maybe later.
anyway... back to reality right ?