ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hypercane_Kyle]

[SouthDadeFish]

I'm impressed by the inner core organization. The convective structure is basically a single eyewall. I wouldn't rule out RI.

 https://twitter.com/MikeFischerWx/status/1321209597269598209

[Kazmit]

Moisture envelope has expanded massively due to interaction with Yucatan. Almost covering the entire gulf now.

https://i.imgur.com/aFkHCMx.jpg

Whatever site that image is from... ITS GORGEOUS! I realize its a Hurricane that I am quietly cursing under my breath... But it is beautiful

https://www.windy.com/

[Stormgodess]

Hey how is all that mis alignment talk going ? and its dying talk?

Yes, it was mis-aligned north to south. But it has improved its structure quite a bit. Lets see how it goes forward.

Do you guys see any more possible adjustment coming to the track? The current Water vapor loop I just saw on my local news ended with the eye.....Well South and West of where they had the official center located??

[tolakram]

Last chance for live visible: https://whirlwind.aos.wisc.edu/~wxp/goes16/grb/meso_vis_sqrt/meso1_60.html

source: https://www.aos.wisc.edu/weather/wx_obs/GOES16.html

[tiger_deF]

I've enjoyed tracking this storm much more than some of the massive amorphous blobs of convection that have crawled across the gulf, with intensity/changes in intensity an core structure basically a mystery. You can see Zeta building an eyewall in real-time thanks to the windfield broadening and initial diminishment of convection. These feeder bands have also been things of beauty, can't remember seeing outflow so expansive and symmetrical since Laura if not before that.

[MGC]

Zeta is getting better organized....just in time for recon. Should regain hurricane intensity tonight if convective trends continue.....MGC

[FixySLN]

Hey how is all that mis alignment talk going ? and its dying talk?

Yes, it was mis-aligned north to south. But it has improved its structure quite a bit. Lets see how it goes forward.

Do you guys see any more possible adjustment coming to the track? The current Water vapor loop I just saw on my local news ended with the eye.....Well South and West of where they had the official center located??

It's 2020. It's in the Gulf. It's October. I wouldn't be ASTOUNDED...but I'd be surprised. Maybe small shifts east or west depending on speed.

[aspen]

Once again, the AF plane is having transmission issues and hasn’t reported in half an hour.

[wxman57]

Local met here on MS Coast seems to be promoting the 80-100mph gusts with 50-60mph sustained.

Hopefully not my friend...Wxman57 mentioned in an earlier post, that higher winds may be limited to a tiny area near the center....the Yucatan took a toll on Zeta, and hopefully it will stay a tropical storm.....I haven't spent much time following the storm, my sister is at MD Anderson in Houston not doing well, so I take breaks when I can to check in with yall.....

I think that the MS coast could see 50-60 mph sustained, particularly Gulfport to Bay St. Louis. Gusts to 100? Well, probably not THAT high.

[GCANE]

Watching this PVS over Jamaica.
Been getting closer to Zeta all day.

[SunnyThoughts]

[northjaxpro]

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20201027/7a146eaa155b0c6c451d4d2a6780f804.jpg

Looking better and better. The eyewall looks just about closed completely. Zeta is intensifying for sure. I hope Recon is getting close as I think we are about to get some very interesting data from them, provided they have not turned back around. I hope they are not having mechanical issues.

[AdamFirst]

Does the current trajectory bring the storm near or over New Orleans? Or is there still room for variation?

[NDG]

What is up with the recon not reporting? I hope is not having communication problems.

[northjaxpro]

What is up with the recon not reporting? I hope is not having communication problems.

Not sure NDG. We have not heard from them in nearly an hour now. I hope they are not having other serious issues to cause them to turn back to Keesler.

[slamdaddy]

Local met here on MS Coast seems to be promoting the 80-100mph gusts with 50-60mph sustained.

Hopefully not my friend...Wxman57 mentioned in an earlier post, that higher winds may be limited to a tiny area near the center....the Yucatan took a toll on Zeta, and hopefully it will stay a tropical storm.....I haven't spent much time following the storm, my sister is at MD Anderson in Houston not doing well, so I take breaks when I can to check in with yall.....

I think that the MS coast could see 50-60 mph sustained, particularly Gulfport to Bay St. Louis. Gusts to 100? Well, probably not THAT high.

Believe he was showing the UKMET or Euro runs in high res from earlier runs. Some do show 80/90mph gusts.

[ClarCari]

Watching this PVS over Jamaica.
Been getting closer to Zeta all day.

https://i.imgur.com/6JTf7d7.png

The loop shows an anticyclonic dance between them and the stream above the PVS. I don’t think it could catch up to Zeta in time. Really shows the structure of the atmosphere though.

[NDG]

It already has a partial stacked up high eyewall with a low level eyewall, is probably already close back to a hurricane.

[slamdaddy]

Hopefully not my friend...Wxman57 mentioned in an earlier post, that higher winds may be limited to a tiny area near the center....the Yucatan took a toll on Zeta, and hopefully it will stay a tropical storm.....I haven't spent much time following the storm, my sister is at MD Anderson in Houston not doing well, so I take breaks when I can to check in with yall.....

I think that the MS coast could see 50-60 mph sustained, particularly Gulfport to Bay St. Louis. Gusts to 100? Well, probably not THAT high.

Believe he was showing the UKMET or Euro runs in high res from earlier runs. Some do show 80/90mph gusts.

https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/lo ... 0300z.html