How many storms will December feature?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Ryxn
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 314
Age: 24
Joined: Fri Sep 08, 2017 4:50 pm
Location: Toronto, Canada

How many storms will December feature?

#1 Postby Ryxn » Thu Oct 29, 2020 2:59 am

The last tropical cyclone in December was 2013. Will 2020 feature any?
Last edited by Ryxn on Wed Nov 25, 2020 5:01 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4677
Age: 63
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#2 Postby chaser1 » Thu Oct 29, 2020 7:47 am

Ryxn wrote:The last tropical cyclone in December was 2013. Will 2020 feature any?


I'm going with "yes"; whether that be in the far east Atlantic off Africa and immediately recurving, or development in the far SW GOM or Caribbean I'm going to guess there will be. Certainly a long-shot in any year though.
3 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



User avatar
Emmett_Brown
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1343
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:10 pm
Location: Sarasota FL

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#3 Postby Emmett_Brown » Thu Oct 29, 2020 8:22 am

Going with a yes too. Just a hunch. Lots of warm water will be left, and shear could remain low over certain areas. A stray system is a good bet in my opinion.
0 likes   

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4521
Age: 23
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#4 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Oct 29, 2020 10:46 am

It's 2020 so... Yes
5 likes   
I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

Boomer Sooner!

User avatar
Blinhart
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1981
Age: 47
Joined: Thu Sep 08, 2011 3:13 pm
Location: Crowley, La.

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#5 Postby Blinhart » Thu Oct 29, 2020 11:57 am

I say yes there will be more than 1.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
CyclonicFury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1970
Age: 25
Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 12:32 pm
Location: NC
Contact:

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#6 Postby CyclonicFury » Thu Oct 29, 2020 11:59 am

Going to break the trend and say no. December is long overdue for an Atlantic storm but it can't seem to produce anything lately.
0 likes   
NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#7 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Oct 29, 2020 12:16 pm

Had Epsilon persist into December and then Zeta in 2005 so yeah sure, this might be the year that breaks the steak of quiet. Last full on tropical system was in 2007 I think. Assuming we get a break in the progressive pattern doesn't seem imposible
0 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.

User avatar
Ryxn
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 314
Age: 24
Joined: Fri Sep 08, 2017 4:50 pm
Location: Toronto, Canada

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#8 Postby Ryxn » Thu Oct 29, 2020 12:21 pm

6 yes (including me) and 1 no. My other thread backfired but a poll for this would be nice. It can be either, Yes or No or have the storm number option as 1, 2 or more or none.
1 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33393
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#9 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 1:53 pm

The way things are going, it's a strong signal that we won't be done come November 30. I have to think we'll get at least one storm in December. Maybe even one from a tropical origin, which would be almost unprecedented.
6 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2022
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#10 Postby Hurricanehink » Tue Nov 10, 2020 4:52 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:The way things are going, it's a strong signal that we won't be done come November 30. I have to think we'll get at least one storm in December. Maybe even one from a tropical origin, which would be almost unprecedented.


Agreed, I'm thinking an Odette 03 like scenario is possible.
0 likes   

User avatar
kevin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1767
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Aug 28, 2019 4:35 am

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#11 Postby kevin » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:31 pm

Considering the exceptionally optimal conditions in the Caribbean at this stage and the fairly optimal conditions that allowed Theta to form, combined with the fact that it's 2020 and that this season is just absolute bananas, I think I'm gonna go with a yes. Similarly to 2005, I think this season may not stop until the calender tells it to.
2 likes   

underthwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1928
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:14 pm
Location: Brazoria County Texas

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#12 Postby underthwx » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:41 pm

Yes....of course!....I'm going with 2 systems that stay out in the ocean blue...
0 likes   

User avatar
Blinhart
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1981
Age: 47
Joined: Thu Sep 08, 2011 3:13 pm
Location: Crowley, La.

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#13 Postby Blinhart » Wed Nov 11, 2020 3:27 pm

I'm going with 3.
1 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8053
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#14 Postby aspen » Wed Nov 11, 2020 3:32 pm

I’m going to make the possibly slightly absurd prediction that another Caribbean hurricane or major will last into December, possibly leading to the first ever major in December.
2 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
TorSkk
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 514
Joined: Thu Jul 05, 2018 5:08 am

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#15 Postby TorSkk » Wed Nov 11, 2020 3:59 pm

Yes, the conditions are there. TS Lambda
0 likes   

User avatar
Ryxn
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 314
Age: 24
Joined: Fri Sep 08, 2017 4:50 pm
Location: Toronto, Canada

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#16 Postby Ryxn » Wed Nov 11, 2020 4:44 pm

I predict Tropical Storm or Hurricane Nu just in time for "Nu Year's" 2021 :grrr:
3 likes   

NorthieStangl
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 65
Age: 38
Joined: Tue Oct 06, 2020 2:22 am
Location: Conyers, Georgia, United States
Contact:

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#17 Postby NorthieStangl » Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:24 pm

Absolutely. November is not slowing down at all, so I wouldn't be surprised if December bring two more on the table.

Hell, 2021 might have an early start like 2016.
2 likes   
Alberto 1994 Opal 1995 Jeanne 2004 Cindy & Dennis 2005 Irma 2017 Michael 2018 Zeta 2020

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33393
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#18 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Nov 13, 2020 4:51 pm

If we get a wild December, it might be time to abolish "hurricane season".
0 likes   

User avatar
CyclonicFury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1970
Age: 25
Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 12:32 pm
Location: NC
Contact:

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#19 Postby CyclonicFury » Fri Nov 13, 2020 4:52 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:If we get a wild December, it might be time to abolish "hurricane season".

I have a gut feeling that many on here will be shocked and December will have nothing, but we'll see.
3 likes   
NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4521
Age: 23
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: Will there be any December named storms this year?

#20 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Nov 13, 2020 4:57 pm

CyclonicFury wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:If we get a wild December, it might be time to abolish "hurricane season".

I have a gut feeling that many on here will be shocked and December will have nothing, but we'll see.

I'd be thankful. December hasn't produced anything in a long time, hopefully that trend continues to end this seemingly eternal season. I still think we'll see a short lived, high latitude TS though
0 likes   
I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

Boomer Sooner!


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: chaser1 and 39 guests