kevin wrote:kevin wrote:GFS seems to have the same MDR storm around +150 as the 12z Euro. As other people rightfully said earlier in this thread it's still way too soon to say something about this AOI with any real value, but at the very least it's a noteworthy development in the models. I guess I'll wait until it at least enters the +90 region before I really pay a lot of attention to it.
Follow-up to this, happy hour GFS lives up to its name.
https://i.imgur.com/vurVudk.png
At least this time it's not just the Euro! /s
Seriously though, I don't remember the operational GFS ever making 95L this strong at a low latitude when Euro was consistent with a MDR major run to run (though GEFS had some strong members). IIRC GFS was also pretty bearish with 93L. This is more likely than not a one-off thing, though.