otowntiger wrote:looks ominous, but at that point it has already begun recurving. Even at this very westerly run it looks like it could even miss the Bahamas. I’m guessing the Euro will swing back east next run- the trough is going to be too stout.kevin wrote:The Euro saw the east trends and said "I'll do you one better" and trended even further west. A true war of the models.
https://i.imgur.com/ZR03bn5.png
Actually no. The Euro shows the mid level low becoming cutoff over the Tenn valley and 500 mb ridging expanding to the north and west of future Sam in the SW Atlantic. If the pattern held after 10 days, probably a SE US landfall (aka Hugo). Of course its one run, 10 days out, and will change. Something to watch.