Texas Fall 2021
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- TheProfessor
- Professional-Met
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
The GFS has begun to trend towards the CMC with a cutoff low developing in the Southwest next week and the moving it into the Southern Plains. This could be an opportunity for rain in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas if this plays out.
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An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
TheProfessor wrote:The GFS has begun to trend towards the CMC with a cutoff low developing in the Southwest next week and the moving it into the Southern Plains. This could be an opportunity for rain in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas if this plays out.
The new Para-Euro has been showing this for a few runs now with a pretty big Southern Plains rain event. The 12z Op Euro jumped on it today. Let's see if it sticks.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- Haris
- Category 5
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- Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2021
All three models have a big rain event next week fyi now
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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- Category 5
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
bubba hotep wrote:TheProfessor wrote:The GFS has begun to trend towards the CMC with a cutoff low developing in the Southwest next week and the moving it into the Southern Plains. This could be an opportunity for rain in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas if this plays out.
The new Para-Euro has been showing this for a few runs now with a pretty big Southern Plains rain event. The 12z Op Euro jumped on it today. Let's see if it sticks.
The ECMWF-Para? Can I see what it looks like and if there is any sites for me to see it?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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- Category 2
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Down to 51°F right now at my house . . .
Woodward, OK is reporting 44°F
The Oklahoma Panhandle is between 40°F & 44°F as well
Woodward, OK is reporting 44°F
The Oklahoma Panhandle is between 40°F & 44°F as well
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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- S2K Supporter
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
I bottomed out at 50°F
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8915
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2021
Oh come on! I thought that this was over!
![Image](https://s9.gifyu.com/images/temp_probhazards_d8_14_contoursd7ca058206299dbd.png)
![Image](https://s9.gifyu.com/images/temp_probhazards_d8_14_contoursd7ca058206299dbd.png)
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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- Category 5
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- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Fall 2021
Ugh. Hopefully just a few days. I am sure we will have some hot days even into late October. It's the Southern Plains.
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Well I did it. I opened some windows and it doesn't feel hot at all. Hopefully we can make it through the night without the a/c. Maybe one day at least anyway. If at bedtime I feel the slightest bit warm the a/c comes back on.
4 likes
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- S2K Supporter
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Iceresistance wrote:Oh come on! I thought that this was over!
https://s9.gifyu.com/images/temp_probhazards_d8_14_contoursd7ca058206299dbd.png
![:spam: :spam:](./images/smilies/spam.gif)
Hopefully at least the humidity stays low I mean it's not like it's rained
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
Sure wish we could bottle up this air though it's amazing
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Fall 2021
gpsnowman wrote:Well I did it. I opened some windows and it doesn't feel hot at all. Hopefully we can make it through the night without the a/c. Maybe one day at least anyway. If at bedtime I feel the slightest bit warm the a/c comes back on.
I didn't make it. With dinner duty tonight with an oven/three burners going I couldn't take it anymore. A/C is on and flowing strong. Perhaps I will try again near Halloween.
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- S2K Supporter
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- Location: Lindale, TX
Re: Texas Fall 2021
Mid 40s to low 50s across East Texas this morning.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2021
49°F was recorded at my house & in town . . .
2 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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- Category 5
- Posts: 2194
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Fall 2021
Looks like the wet pattern will focus over West TX. They got plenty of rain with the monsoon. Frustrating. DFW bone dry still.
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- Haris
- Category 5
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- Joined: Mon Nov 27, 2017 8:19 pm
- Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2021
rwfromkansas wrote:Looks like the wet pattern will focus over West TX. They got plenty of rain with the monsoon. Frustrating. DFW bone dry still.
Not really. All the models show most of TX getting 1-3" including the ensembles this PM
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2194
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
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- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2021
Haris wrote:rwfromkansas wrote:Looks like the wet pattern will focus over West TX. They got plenty of rain with the monsoon. Frustrating. DFW bone dry still.
Not really. All the models show most of TX getting 1-3" including the ensembles this PM
Ensembles look really good. 12z OP GFS & Euro are on the west side of ensemble guidance and the 12z Para-Euro looks a lot like the Euro EPS mean.
1 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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