Category5Kaiju wrote:
How does this compare to Iota? Very similar starting positions location-wise, but in terms of structure, I am not quite sure
Looking at comparable timeframes before Nicaraguan landfall (now less than 48 hours), Iota had just become a rapidly strengthening hurricane with model consensus later making it a MH. Fortunately for the Nicaraguan E coast, this looks nothing like that insane borderline cat 5 strength although it is the very heavy rain threat that is the biggest threat for CA. I was just looking back at model consensus total rainfall predictions for CA overall from iota and Eta and they were a good bit higher at this point for much of the area other than maybe near the Nicaraguan E coast vs what we're seeing for Julia. Part of the reason for that is the very slow Eta movement. Even Iota was moving somewhat more slowly than Julia is forecasted to move once there. So, I'm hoping the flooding won't be as bad, especially in NW Honduras, but we'll see. All precautions should be taken, including evacuations of low areas.