Dennis Advisorys

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Dennis Advisorys

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:45 am

A new day a new thread for the saturday advisorys.Starting with the Position Estimate at 8 AM EDT.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:34 am, edited 42 times in total.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:56 am

ZCZC MIATCEAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS ESTIMATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT
100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FORECASTER STEWART



The next advisory will be at 9 AM EDT.
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#3 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:01 am

in the past 2 hours Dennis has moved 0.2N and 0.2W so still on a NW heading... shouldnt he start turning to the NNW within the next 6 to 12 hours?
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DENNIS

#4 Postby carve » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:08 am

What are the chances that Dennis will be a cat 4 at landfall..7 am adv. is 105 mph winds..up 15 mph from last adv.
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#5 Postby dhweather » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:27 am

Well, I can't say for sure he'll be a cat 4 or not, but I can say the convection around the center is quickly firing up, so that's pretty much a sure sign of intensification.

I would GUESS, AND THIS IS NOT OFFICIAL - cat 3 at landfall.
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:01 am

091259
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
9 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

...DENNIS CONTINUING TO RE-ORGANIZE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF...
...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF
AND FLORIDA BAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...AND
CIENFUEGOS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH AND THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR
CUBA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DENNIS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 9 AM EDT...1300Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES
WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 380 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 520 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES. KEY WEST HAS CONTINUED TO EXPERIENCE WIND GUSTS TO 74
MPH...OR HURRICANE FORCE.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.
A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST
OF FLORIDA TODAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 9 AM EDT POSITION...24.4 N... 83.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART
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#7 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:05 am

sadly i feel that will not last as this thing will continue to strengthen
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#8 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:26 am

The fact that Dennis isn't expected to make landfall untill tomorrow afternoon means that he has plenty of time to strengthen.Probably back to cat 4 :(
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#9 Postby MGC » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:50 am

Cuba damaged Dennis a little more than expected. Would not be surprised if Dennis takes a while to get his act together today before reaching Cat 3 again later tonight. By Sunday I would not be surprised if Dennis is a 120mph hurricane.......MGC
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#10 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:03 am

ZCZC MIATCEAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

AT 10 AM EDT...1400Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS ESTIMATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.6 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT
115 MILES WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:36 am

550
WTNT24 KNHC 091434
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
1500Z SAT JUL 09 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS EAST
OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS EAST OF SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST
OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.

AT 11 AM EDT...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR CUBA HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 83.8W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 30SW 55NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 75SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 80SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 83.8W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 83.4W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.4N 85.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 55NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.7N 86.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.2N 87.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.6N 89.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 36.5N 89.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 38.0N 88.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 39.0N 83.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 83.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z


.
FORECASTER STEWART
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#12 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:40 am

They might still expect a major hurricane at landfall. It's just not within the forecast positions they have there.
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#13 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:41 am

Image
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#14 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:50 am


TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

...DENNIS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS EAST
OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS EAST OF SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST
OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.

AT 11 AM EDT...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR CUBA HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR ABOUT 125
MILES...WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 355 MILES...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 480 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR... AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE
FLORIDA KEYS...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA...
WHICH COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF
8 TO 10 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER
OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...AND ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...24.7 N... 83.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 967 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM EDT AND 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART

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#15 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 10:03 am

WTNT44 KNHC 091502
TCDAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

SATELLITE...RADAR...AND NOAA RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE DENNIS HAS
SLOWLY BEEN GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. THE PRESSURE HAS
BEEN GRADUALLY DECREASING SINCE DENNIS MOVED OFF THE NORTH COAST OF
CUBA...BUT THIS HAS NOT BEEN REFLECTED BY A CORRESPONDING INCREASE
IN FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND SPEEDS. THE EYE HAS BEEN RAGGED LOOKING MOST
OF THIS MORNING IN THE KEY WEST DOPPLER RADAR DATA...ALTHOUGH IT
HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER DEFINED IN THE LAST HOUR OR SO. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS A BLEND OF RECON FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS...SFMR
DATA...AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KT AND 90 KT FROM
TAFB AND SAB...RESPECTIVELY.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 320/12. UPPER-AIR DATA AT 06Z AND
ESPECIALLY AT 12Z...ALONG WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...INDICATE THE
MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GULF JUST
SOUTH OF LOUISIANA IS A LITTLE STRONGER THAN AND LARGER THAN ANY OF
THE MODELS WERE INDICATING AT 00Z AND 06Z. THE NOGAPS MODEL DID NOT
CAPTURE THIS FEATURE AT ALL...AND IT AND THE GFDN MODELS ARE THE
ONLY MODELS THAT TAKE DENNIS TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. IT
WOULD NOT SURPRISE ME IF THE 12Z MODELS SHIFT SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT
GIVEN THAT THE LOW IS STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST...AND THAT
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS HAS CONTINUED TO SHIFT NORTHWARD AND IS
NOW LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TO WESTERN TENNESSEE. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS JUST AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.

DENNIS IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER A COOL EDDY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE BACK OVER WARMER WATER IN 12-18 HOURS. THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW AND THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN QUITE IMPRESSIVE. THE SSTS AHEAD OF DENNIS ARE WARM ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE UP UNTIL LANDFALL...SO THE ONLY
INHIBITING FACTOR IS IF THE INNER-CORE STRUCTURE DOES NOT REGAIN
ITS ORIGINAL STRUCTURE. BUT GIVEN THAT THE EYE DIAMETER IS ONLY
10-15 MILES...IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH CONVECTION TO DEVELOP AROUND
THE EYE FOR DENNIS TO MAKE A SIGNIFICANT COMEBACK IN A SHORT PERIOD
OF TIME.

THE 64-KT WIND RADII WERE DECREASED BASED ON RECON DATA.

FORECASTER STEWART

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 09/1500Z 24.7N 83.8W 85 KT
12HR VT 10/0000Z 26.4N 85.0W 90 KT
24HR VT 10/1200Z 28.7N 86.4W 95 KT
36HR VT 11/0000Z 31.2N 87.7W 65 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 11/1200Z 33.6N 89.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
72HR VT 12/1200Z 36.5N 89.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND
96HR VT 13/1200Z 38.0N 88.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND
120HR VT 14/1200Z 39.0N 83.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND
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#16 Postby FWBHurricane » Sat Jul 09, 2005 10:06 am

Curiously...whats a Cool Eddie...?
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#17 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 10:08 am

FWBHurricane wrote:Curiously...whats a Cool Eddie...?


A small area of cooler waters.
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#18 Postby James » Sat Jul 09, 2005 10:09 am

Interesting that he mentions the possibility of Dennis making a significant comeback.
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#19 Postby FWBHurricane » Sat Jul 09, 2005 10:10 am

Oh i see..so its just a spiffy name for an area of cold water...got it :P
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#20 Postby otowntiger » Sat Jul 09, 2005 10:16 am

FWBHurricane wrote:Curiously...whats a Cool Eddie...?


Herman Munster's son, wearing shades and driving a convertible.
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