Enjoy it while it lasts (In East Atlantic)

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 4:39 pm

Atlantic LSU Image

It's a good convective complex area that has emerged Western Africa.But as it happens many,many times as soon they move a couple hundred miles from the coast they start to fizzle.But thinking about this,maybe this may be the system the GFS has been moving thru the Caribbean by next week but without any development and the San Juan AFD eluded to last weekend.

#2 Postby **Hybridstorm_November2001** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 4:43 pm

Perhaps. Let us hope not though :bday:

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #3 Postby **senorpepr** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 4:53 pm

Well, although it has some pretty nice low-level confluence and upper-level difluence now, it will see some of the dry air to it's north get entrained into the wave in the near future. Thereafter, the steering flow takes it west-southwesterly, so the lack of coriolis won't help for cyclogenesis. However, if it does make it further north of 10°N, then it will run into some increased shear (60-90 kt) associated with the subtropical jet.

My vote... no.

MiamiensisWx · #4 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 4:55 pm

I agree with Mike (senor). Shear and other factors don't favor development. I'll have a poof alert standing by.

CHRISTY · #5 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 4:58 pm

lets just sound it now! :blowup:

#6 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 4:59 pm

That is why the title says (Enjoy it while it lasts).

MiamiensisWx · #7 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:00 pm

I've already got the funeral service ready.

beachbum_al · #8 Postby **beachbum_al** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:01 pm

I will provide the wake for our dear system when it goes a poof.

CHRISTY · #9 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:03 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:I've already got the funeral service ready.

MiamiensisWx · #10 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:03 pm

I feel sorry for the ITCZ systems this time of year... NOT.

CHRISTY · #11 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:05 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:I feel sorry for the ITCZ systems... NOT.

hey capeverdewave we need to get a professional met to talk about the SOI DROP i think it might be important.

MiamiensisWx · #12 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:06 pm

CHRISTY wrote:hey capeverdewave we need to get a professional met to talk about the SOI DROP i think it might be important.

I agree. This system is just normal ITCZ primordial petri dish soup.

#13 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:08 pm

You have to admit though, it is one of the more better structured waves we've seen out there so far.

MiamiensisWx · #14 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:09 pm

skysummit wrote:You have to admit though, it is one of the more better structured waves we've seen out there so far.

Yes, that is true, even though it has very little to no chance of development.

MiamiensisWx · #15 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:12 pm

If this was August and was further north, it would be VERY notable.

CHRISTY · #16 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:18 pm

its only a matter of time before it goes....

YouTube · #17 Postby **hurricanetrack** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:31 pm

It will be awesome to see the Cape Verde hurricane make a return this season. If they only had minimal impact on people- then we could all stand up and cheer for them. As it stands, they roll people up and destroy property- but they are spectacular to see on satellite photos. Not too long to go....

#18 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 7:28 pm

CLUSTERS
OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF
THE AXIS E OF 27W. A TROPICAL WAVE MAY BE LOCATED NEAR 20W
ENHANCING THIS ACTIVITY.

All of us haved joked with this and right to do so but I admit that this wave at least has hanged good a little bit longer than other ones so far this year.

Atlantic LSU Image

I forgot to mention at the first post that this LSU image is of three hours intervals.

#19 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 8:00 pm

Infared Image

For those who like to see the colorized image here it is.This one is of 6 hour intervals.

#20 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Jun 07, 2006 8:04 pm

A different vantage point...

Enjoy it while it lasts (In East Atlantic)

Enjoy it while it lasts (In East Atlantic)

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