H Dolly Recon Discussion Thread

[HURAKAN]

NOUS42 KNHC 171530
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT THU 17 JULY 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 18/1100Z TO 19/1100Z JULY 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-047

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA...(CARIBBEAN SEA)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 18/1800Z
B. AFXXX 04AAA CYCLONE
C. 18/1445Z
D. 13.5N 73.0W
E. 18/1700Z TO 18/2030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
A. 19/0600Z
B. AFXXX 05AAA CYCLONE
C. 17/0200Z
D. 14.0N 76.5W
E. 19/0500Z TO 17/0830Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. BEGIN 6 HRLY FIXES ON CARIBBEAN SYSTEM AT 19/1800Z.
B. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO W ATLANTIC SYSTEM AT 32.5N
78.0W FOR 19/1800Z.

3. REMARKS: MISSION FOR 17/0600Z AND 1200Z CANCELED BY NHC
AT 16/2200Z.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
SEF

[cycloneye]

They are still interested in the system although todays mission was canceled.

[Chacor]

Neither of those flights is for 94L, are they? Looks like 95L to me, since today's 94L missions were canned.

[HURAKAN]

By Saturday 95L would probably be in the EPAC, not 76W.

[cycloneye]

Are for 94L.Remember its moving rapidly and it will reach 73w tommorow morning.

[Thunder44]

Neither of those flights is for 94L, are they? Looks like 95L to me, since today's 94L missions were canned.

I believe they are both into 94L. Also today's mission for 18z into 94L was not mentioned. It still may be a go.

[HURAKAN]

Neither of those flights is for 94L, are they? Looks like 95L to me, since today's 94L missions were canned.

I believe they are both into 94L. Also today's mission for 18z into 94L was not mentioned. It still may be a go.

REMARKS: MISSION FOR 17/0600Z AND 1200Z CANCELED BY NHC
AT 16/2200Z.

[Chacor]

Yes. 0600z and 1200z cancelled. 1800z was not mentioned, which was his point.

[Thunder44]

Neither of those flights is for 94L, are they? Looks like 95L to me, since today's 94L missions were canned.

I believe they are both into 94L. Also today's mission for 18z into 94L was not mentioned. It still may be a go.

REMARKS: MISSION FOR 17/0600Z AND 1200Z CANCELED BY NHC
AT 16/2200Z.

Those were for overnight and were cancelled from yesterday! This this afteroon's mission:

ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA...(CARIBBEAN SEA)
FLIGHT ONE...TEAL 70
A. 17/1800Z
B. AFXXX 03AAA CYCLONE
C. 17/1600Z
D. 13.0N 66.4W
E. 17/1700Z TO 16/2030Z

[Chacor]

We'll find out soon enough since that mission is scheduled to take off in 15 minutes.

[Thunder44]

This was the mission that was cancelled yesterday. They made no remarks about the mission today at 18z:

FLIGHT TWO...TEAL 71
A. 17/0600Z, 1200Z
B. AFXXX 02AAA CYCLONE
C. 17/0400Z
D. 14.0N 60.0W
E. 17/0500Z TO 17/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[HURAKAN]

That's right, didn't realize that. In any case they decide to fly I'll be hear to handle the Google images from the mission.

[cycloneye]

I now realize what you meant Chacor,it was about the SW Caribbean system. But anyway it looks like a go for this afternoon.

[artist]

hi cycloneye, can you fix the topic title that it hasn't been cancelled then? thanks!

[HURAKAN]

No reports so far.

[Ed Mahmoud]

In recent years Marxist thug and terrorist supporter Hugo Chavez has denied permission for the Hurricane Hunters to enter Venezuelan airspace. Besides the fact 94L looks poor, this is another reason I am 97.46% sure no recon is going to 94L today.

[Stratosphere747]

You sure that 18z flight wasn't a mission to begin 6 hourly fixes in case of development?

[HURAKAN]

SUSPECT AREA...(CARIBBEAN SEA)
FLIGHT ONE...TEAL 70
A. 17/1800Z
B. AFXXX 03AAA CYCLONE
C. 17/1600Z
D. 13.0N 66.4W
E. 17/1700Z TO 16/2030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

Scheduled take off time is 17/12pm EDT

[Thunder44]

You sure that 18z flight wasn't a mission to begin 6 hourly fixes in case of development?

I don't think so. They were mentioning the 18z flight until the 8am TWO this morning.

I think we should give it until 1pm. Then we can assume they aren't going to fly today.

[cycloneye]

I dont know Thunder,HURAKAN and Chacor,but almost an hour has passed since noon EDT time that was supposed to start the mission.I smell cancellation.