ACE 2008 numbers=ATL=144.505 / EPAC=81.6125

[KWT]

Despite never getting to hurricane strength Fay's ACE return is fairly reasonable, now upto 45, about half way to the longer term average.

[cycloneye]

Definitly,not bad numbers for Fay despite never being a hurricane.As I said earlier in the thread,Fay passed Dolly in the ACE individual systems numbers,considering that Dolly was a hurricane,although it did not lasted long at that status.

[RattleMan]

As of 23/0300z, Fay's ACE and stats:

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... _0300z.htm

[cycloneye]

Latest ACE numbers for the season as of 5 AM Advisory at 40kts for Tropical Storm Fay.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.3950
Total  45.435


[cycloneye]

ACE numbers as of the 11 AM Advisory of 40kts for Tropical Storm Fay.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.5550
Total  45.595


[cycloneye]

ACE numbers as of the 4 PM CDT Advisory of Tropical Storm Fay at 40kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
Total  45.755


[RattleMan]

This is the final update of Fay's ACE and stats as of 24/0300z as the NHC downgraded her to a TD and issued its last advisory.

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... _0300z.htm

[cycloneye]

The special advisory 60kts doesnt count for ACE values.It starts from the 5 PM EDT advisory.Lets see how much ACE numbers Gustav will get.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I will predict 9.5 Ace for this cyclone. But it could be higher or lower of course.

[RattleMan]

As of 25/2100z, here is Gustav's ACE and stats:

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... _2100z.htm

In addition, I am also releasing the Excel spreadsheet I use to create the above document:

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... elease.zip

[cycloneye]

ACE numbers for the season as of 5 PM Advisory.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 0.2500
Total  46.005


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:2008_ ... /ACE_calcs

[cycloneye]

As of 25/2100z, here is Gustav's ACE and stats:

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... _2100z.htm

In addition, I am also releasing the Excel spreadsheet I use to create the above document:

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... elease.zip

You have an error in the ACE number for Gustav,0.25 instead its 0.2500.

[RattleMan]

As of 25/2100z, here is Gustav's ACE and stats:

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... _2100z.htm

In addition, I am also releasing the Excel spreadsheet I use to create the above document:

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... elease.zip

You have an error in the ACE number for Gustav,0.25 instead its 0.2500.

0.2500 is the same thing as 0.25. I just find it more readable if the useless zeroes are removed.

[cycloneye]

Ok good.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

With 7 named storms we are 41.17% the way to DR.WIlliams Grays forecast of 17 named storms. He must be forecasting one heck of a active second half of the season.

[RL3AO]

With 7 named storms we are 41.17% the way to DR.WIlliams Grays forecast of 17 named storms. He must be forecasting one heck of a active second half of the season.

Its Klotzbach's forecast, not Gray's

[KWT]

10 NS is totally do able for September, October and the rest of the season as long as we remain in neutral conditions in terms of the ENSO.

In termsof the ACE, to hit thier forecast we do need a few long range trackers to get up to there forecast but its easily possible, just look at 1961 for proof of that.

[RattleMan]

In addition, I am also releasing the Excel spreadsheet I use to create the above document:

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... elease.zip

I forgot to say: in order to use the Excel document just enter the knot values into the "Knots" column on the left; the formulas within will calculate everything else.

[cycloneye]

Updated ACE numbers for the season as of the 11 PM EDT Advisory on Gustav.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 0.6100
Total  46.365


[cycloneye]

Who has the 5 AM Advisory of 75kts ACE numbers to then update the ACE totals for the season?