Texas Winter 2025-2026
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.-
Stratton23
- Category 5

- Posts: 2894
- Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
- Location: Katy, Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Cpv17 yup, also the GEFS continues to trend colder , wouldn’t be shocked to see a winter storm signal grow on the models for texas as well
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Stratton23 wrote:Cpv17 yup, also the GEFS continues to trend colder , wouldn’t be shocked to see a winter storm signal grow on the models for texas as well
Sounds good. We definitely deserve some exciting weather around SE TX. This weather has been straight cheeks going on 3 months now. We can’t even get any rain down here.
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Golfisnoteasy75
- Tropical Wave

- Posts: 4
- Joined: Mon Nov 17, 2025 5:31 pm
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Stratton23 wrote:Cpv17 yup, also the GEFS continues to trend colder , wouldn’t be shocked to see a winter storm signal grow on the models for texas as well
Im ready for some action. Its still mid-end of November.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5

- Posts: 9368
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Stratton23
- Category 5

- Posts: 2894
- Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
- Location: Katy, Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Im officially intrigued now, pretty impressive GEFS signal for wintry mischief along with the arctic cold
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Iceresistance wrote:Uh oh GEFS![]()
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https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9uQg.gif
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9uQg.gif
I love Barney
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
I wouldn't worry too much about the long range model noise. The analogs and trends favor cold from the high plains to the southern plains. Some op runs will be too progressive, others holds back too much. Ridging on and off the western North American coast is favorable
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Stratton23
- Category 5

- Posts: 2894
- Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
- Location: Katy, Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Ntxw good points, its easy to get caught up in the OP runs, and i definitely still do lol , the ensembles are still the best guidance to go with at this range, though it is nice to see a wet signal showing up on the ensembles, dont want it to be too cold because that could really suppress things
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