Atlantic Waves,Discussions and sat pics

[Trader Ron]

This season rocks!!!

Die 1933 die!!!

I agree they both have good chance.

Hey Matt,

I'm getting a little tired of you, becoming a cheerleader for every named storm that forms!

Trader Ron, I catch the drift you dont like to see tropical systems form. please, however, for the rest of us that find them exciting, dont bog down the excitement

It's easy for you to sit up in NH and want cyclones to form! How would you like it if 100 people died in a Blizzard in NH? If that happened, how would you like it if i said i hope the Northeast gets hit by another Blizzard !
Now, you get "My Drift" .

[wxwatcher91]

[/list]

[wxwatcher91]

This season rocks!!!

Die 1933 die!!!

I agree they both have good chance.

Hey Matt,

I'm getting a little tired of you, becoming a cheerleader for every named storm that forms!

Trader Ron, I catch the drift you dont like to see tropical systems form. please, however, for the rest of us that find them exciting, dont bog down the excitement

It's easy for you to sit up in NH and want cyclones to form! How would you like it if 100 people died in a Blizzard in NH? If that happened, how would you like it if i said i hope the Northeast gets hit by another Blizzard !
Now, you get "My Drift" .

I realize how bad it is when hurricanes strike Florida because I have been down there when one did.
Anyway I'm not rooting for them to strike land

can we end this?

[cycloneye]

Ok guys let's cease this and return to the discussion about the tropical waves.

[Trader Ron]

Ok guys let's cease this and return to the discussion about the tropical waves.

Discussing tropical waves OR cheering on tropical waves?

[Innotech]

This season rocks!!!

Die 1933 die!!!

I agree they both have good chance.

Hey Matt,

I'm getting a little tired of you, becoming a cheerleader for every named storm that forms!

Trader Ron, I catch the drift you dont like to see tropical systems form. please, however, for the rest of us that find them exciting, dont bog down the excitement

It's easy for you to sit up in NH and want cyclones to form! How would you like it if 100 people died in a Blizzard in NH? If that happened, how would you like it if i said i hope the Northeast gets hit by another Blizzard !
Now, you get "My Drift" .

sorry but I cheer on the storms too. This is nature at her most powerful. We are defenseless to stop it, we build in the path of it, we keep making cities on the coast bigger...what should be expected? If humans did not want to risk their possessions or lives destroyed, they would live in safer areas. Living on the coast puts anyone at risk and it seems it is a risk many people are iwlling to take to live in "paradise", a term I find very misleading. Its quite simple. If you live near a ovlcano expect your home to be destroyed by lava or ash one day. If youl ive in tornqado alley hteres a greater chance of an F5 wiping out everything. If youl ive in California or Missouri theres a better chance of an earthquake destroying your home. If youl ive on the coast, youre gonna feel the powerof a cane.

[Trader Ron]

Luis,

Is that Wave just East of the Windwards, the one that was out around 10N 50 W on Thursday Afternoon?

[cycloneye]

Luis,

Is that Wave just East of the Windwards, the one that was out around 10N 50 W on Thursday Afternoon?

No the big wave with a weak low around 11n is not the one you mention.

[cycloneye]

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/webpics/goes/Sto ... est_lc.jpg

Visible pic of the atlantic that shows the little weak low around 50w and the well defined wave south of the Cape Verde islands.I dont post the pic making a copy and paste because it is very big.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WAVES...

E ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 24W/25W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15
KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY
BE FORMING NEAR 11N25W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION N OF THE POSSIBLE CIRCULATION FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN
25W-27W IS DISORGANIZED AT THE PRESENT TIME. ITCZ CONVECTION TO
THE SW APPEARS TO BE CONNECTED TO THE OVERALL CIRCULATION.
BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS ARE SURGING NORTHWARD ON THE E
SIDE OF THE WAVE AND MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS. SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL INCREASE NEAR OR OVER THE ISLAND
CHAIN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE WAVE CONTINUES WESTWARD.

CENTRAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE FROM 20N50W-13N53W-6N56W MOVING W
NEAR 20 KT. WAVE WAS REPOSITIONED SLIGHTLY TO THE W BASED ON
1200 UTC UPPER AIR DATA FROM GUYANA AND EARLY MORNING QUIKSCAT
DATA. LEADING EDGE OF WAVE IS ABOUT 100-150 NM E OF BARBADOS AND
THE REMAINDER OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE CONTINUES TO BE QUITE BROAD...EXTENDING E TO 45W
AND W TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. EARLIER SURFACE LOW HAD
DISSIPATED... ALTHOUGH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY STILL BE
EVIDENT NEAR 12N51W. AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS W OF THE AXIS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 58W-62W.
THIS CONVECTION WILL AFFECT THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS AS THE WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.


2:05 Discussion of waves.Interesting about the wave near the CV Islands about a LLC forming.IMO that is the one to watch in the comming days.

[bvigal]

Luis, yes been watching both of these since early this morning. In fact, probably the reason I'm on this board. Went looking for opinions from those I know and trust... and found my way here!

That one off CV will continue to keep my attention.

Relocation westward of west Atlantic wave makes sense to me, after looking at sat loops this morning, etc.

PS - thanks for the surface map updated hourly - that's a gem!!

[cycloneye]

Luis, yes been watching both of these since early this morning. In fact, probably the reason I'm on this board. Went looking for opinions from those I know and trust... and found my way here!

That one off CV will continue to keep my attention.

Relocation westward of west Atlantic wave makes sense to me, after looking at sat loops this morning, etc.

PS - thanks for the surface map updated hourly - that's a gem!!

My friend you found the right place for rapid tropical information and I mean rapid and complete.

About the waves the front one is very big and the relocation more west ties that area of convection in the windwards to the overall wave envelope.The wave near the CV Islands definitly is slowly organizing and distint from it's frontrunner which was caught by the dust that one will have less dust to work with.

[Astro_man92]

What is LLC?? i've been seeing it all over

[cycloneye]

What is LLC?? i've been seeing it all over

Low Level Circulation

[themusk]

What is LLC?? i've been seeing it all over

Low Level Circulation. The stuff a tropical cyclone is made of (well that, plus heat and water, and... )

[Hyperstorm]

As soon as I talk about the low near 50W, satellite images reveal that the low has dissipated. The dry air has made a mess with the system. Even though, the wave was repositioned near the windward islands, I still expect that as the renmants of the low moves westward and interacts with the UL low to its northwest, that thunderstorms will refire. That being said, I don't expect development due to the proximity of the UL low, but as it moves to the western Caribbean, conditions could change. I'll be watching.

Meanwhile, the system south of the CV islands has become somewhat better organized, but it is still rather broad, so any development will be slow...

[cycloneye]

Is this Harvey soon? Looks like to me but it will be slow to develop..

[Tommedic]

Based on season so far, we could be up to S before end of Aug.

[cycloneye]

As soon as I talk about the low near 50W, satellite images reveal that the low has dissipated. The dry air has made a mess with the system. Even though, the wave was repositioned near the windward islands, I still expect that as the renmants of the low moves westward and interacts with the UL low to its northwest, that thunderstorms will refire. That being said, I don't expect development due to the proximity of the UL low, but as it moves to the western Caribbean, conditions could change. I'll be watching.

Meanwhile, the system south of the CV islands has become somewhat better organized, but it is still rather broad, so any development will be slow...

Agree on the first wave comment.About the second wave If that circulation tights more then things will go ahead and develop there but as you said still is a broad circulation but with a LLC forming near 11n.

[WeatherEmperor]

Based on season so far, we could be up to S before end of Aug.

Tell me about it. I believe this season will be The Chosen One.

<RICKY>