Texas Severe Weather Potential for 4/28 and 4/29

#101 Postby **jasons2k** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 8:20 pm

It sure was windy here today too.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
652 PM CDT FRI APR 28 2006

.UPDATE...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 40 MPH CONTINUE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND. AM EXPECTING WINDS TO BEGIN TO
DIMINISH TO BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS AROUND 9 PM BUT WILL CONTINUE
TO BE BREEZY TO WINDY AHD OF THE FRONTAL BDRY. HAVE UPDATED THE
WIND ADVISORY AND ASSOCIATED PRODUCTS.

TexasStooge · #102 Postby **TexasStooge** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:37 pm

There are already TORNADO WARNINGS for Parker and Wise Counties until 10:15PM CDT tonight, and my area's right in the path of the storm in the next hour or so!!! :eek:

#103 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:37 pm

3 tornadoes reported at last check, although one was a separate system in North Dakota. Mostly hail reports.

Extremeweatherguy · #104 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:50 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
938 PM CDT FRI APR 28 2006

.UPDATE...
NOT PLANNING ON MANY CHANGES THIS GO AROUND. ACTIVITY TO THE WEST
CONTINUING TO NUDGE EVER SO CLOSE. A QUICK LOOK AT EARLY ETA RUNS
WOULD SEEM TO INDICATE A SLIGHTLY SLOWER (THAN CURRENT FORECASTS)
TIMING FOR THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DRYLINE/UPPER TROF.
WILL HAVE TO SEE IF THE OTHER MODEL SOLUTIONS GO WITH THIS TREND.
IN THE MEANWHILE THE LEAD STORMS TO THE WEST SHOULD MAINLY AFFECT
OUR NRN COUNTIES WITH THIS INTIAL ROUND. DEWPOINTS/WINDS STILL ON
THE HIGH SIDE THIS EVENING AND UA PLOTS SHOWING AS RATHER IMPRES-
SIVE UPPER JET (ABOUT 130KT) APPROACHING FROM THE SW. SO IT WOULD
SEEM THAT THE INGREDIENTS ARE COMING TOGETHER BUT THE MAIN QUEST-
ION MARK LOOKS TO BE TIMING. 41

If this slowing trend continues, then we may be talking about tomorrow afternoon instead of tomorrow morning. If this thing can hold off that long, then a derecho is probably possible due to daytime heating and prime instability. One good thing about it happening in the afternoon would be plenty of sunlight if power fails and the ability to see the storm coming (or at least see the gust front).

DJJordan · #105 Postby **DJJordan** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:55 pm

I agree ... however I don't feel it will be afternoon .... probably around 11AM or Noon in my estimation unless it slows down even more.

wxmann_91 · #106 Postby **wxmann_91** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:56 pm

TexasStooge wrote:There are already TORNADO WARNINGS for Parker and Wise Counties until 10:15PM CDT tonight, and my area's right in the path of the storm in the next hour or so!!!

There is some good news in that the storm looks a bit outflow dominant, lessening its tornado potential. Look out for large hail and winds though, and of course the lightning and torrential rains.

TexasStooge · #107 Postby **TexasStooge** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:56 pm

Denton and Tarrant Counties are now under a TORNADO WARNING!!!!

#108 Postby **jasons2k** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:59 pm

KatDaddy · #109 Postby **KatDaddy** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:02 pm

Just called family in the Trophy Club subdivision just NNE of Fort Worth....the tornado sirens went off a few minutes ago.

Johnny · #110 Postby **Johnny** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:03 pm

I just found something I have been looking for for a long time!!! Listen to storm spotters live!! Check out this link....

http://www.stormspotterlive.com/skywarnTexas.phtml

Extremeweatherguy · #111 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:05 pm

when will this "main" line develop??? It is very hard to try and estimate a time when the MCS will move through tomorrow without something to track.

TexasStooge · #112 Postby **TexasStooge** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:07 pm

Thanks for the link Johnny. :wink:

This is gonna be a long night.

KatDaddy · #113 Postby **KatDaddy** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:11 pm

Is this for real? There was a mention of sun and its dark

Extremeweatherguy · #114 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:12 pm

This includes NW Harris County!? May be we will get 2 rounds of severe weather tonight...one being a tornado/hail threat and the other being a high wind threat.

cheezyWXguy · #115 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:12 pm

omg...im really scared right now...theres a potential tornado about a countie away from my area that could be coming my way...I hope to god it never comes...Ive never seen a tornado before and I hope to never see one

KatDaddy · #116 Postby **KatDaddy** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:16 pm

Its just a damn recording. We need realtime reports.............misleading.....back to the radar.

Trying to track the storm chaser positions. The tornado sirens are going off in Trophy Club and Ronake N of Fort Worth.

#117 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:16 pm

Any other media links for the area?

TexasStooge · #118 Postby **TexasStooge** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:18 pm

cheezywxman wrote:omg...im really scared right now...theres a potential tornado about a countie away from my area that could be coming my way...I hope to god it never comes...Ive never seen a tornado before and I hope to never see one

It's heading my way as well. STAY SAFE!!!!!!!

Johnny · #119 Postby **Johnny** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:20 pm

Katdaddy, that was a sample clip. You have register to listen to the real time reports. None of them are streaming at the present time.

#120 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:20 pm

It seems the area around Texas Motor Speedway is going to get it.

Texas Severe Weather Potential for 4/28 and 4/29

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