ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

[HURAKAN]

Reports from Cuban radio indicates that the damage in Santiago de Cuba is as bad as feared, collapsed buildings and others about to fail, no electricity, trees down, etc. I think my name is as good as retired

[Weatherguy173]

11 AM advisory forecast track. Look at that left hook at the end.

Aimed right at my house

Two TS Events in two years? Who moved NJ down to the GoM?

same, NJ, makes no sense that this could happen two times in as many years.

[dizzyfish]

Reports from Cuban radio indicates that the damage in Santiago de Cuba is as bad as feared, collapsed buildings and others about to fail, no electricity, trees down, etc. I think my name is as good as retired

Oh - that is so sad to hear. I hope that against odds there is no loss of life and few injuries.

[artist]

Reports from Cuban radio indicates that the damage in Santiago de Cuba is as bad as feared, collapsed buildings and others about to fail, no electricity, trees down, etc. I think my name is as good as retired

So sorry to hear that. My thoughts and prayers go out to them.

[ozonepete]

Reports from Cuban radio indicates that the damage in Santiago de Cuba is as bad as feared, collapsed buildings and others about to fail, no electricity, trees down, etc. I think my name is as good as retired

So sorry to hear that Sandy. Those poor people.

I'm quite sure Sandy will be retired from that alone, but additionally we have some really bad signs for the northeast U.S. now as well. This is shaping up as an historic hurricane.

[mph101]

The water vapor loop looks like Sandy is getting ready to ( if not currently) suck in a lot of dry air on the west/SW side, appears to be eroding on the western flank. Could this storm weaken or evolve into a hybrid much further south then forecast?

[Blown Away]

Sandy is flying and continues to be right of the NHC track, I wonder if this slow down/NW jog is gonna happen east of Florida or just a slow right adjustment of the NHC track over the next 48 hours.

[HURAKAN]

The town of Palma Soriano reported 35 minutes of calm around 2:30 am

[CrazyC83]

Yeah we can only pray that everyone made it through that ordeal last night. A direct hit on a major city is never a good thing.

[ozonepete]

11 AM advisory forecast track. Look at that left hook at the end.
http://oi46.tinypic.com/2rmw8ih.jpg

Aimed right at my house
Two TS Events in two years? Who moved NJ down to the GoM?

Wow, this is not good news for us at all in the northeast.

[KWT]

By the time this system gets close to the latitude of New York there probably won't be much of an inner core left, it'll be a large spread out system and the main risks will be both flooding and wind GUSTS...I'm not sure sustained winds will be super high unless it somehow keeps its tropical identity going, which given its forward speed it'll struggle to do (though the models do indicate it'll likely still have some tropical aspects if nothing else.)

[pgoss11]

11 AM advisory forecast track. Look at that left hook at the end.
http://oi46.tinypic.com/2rmw8ih.jpg

Aimed right at my house
Two TS Events in two years? Who moved NJ down to the GoM?

Wow, this is not good news for us at all in the northeast.

No not good news at all. The hype should begin soon. Once the media runs with it..people with be either panicked or complacent.

[Frank2]

Yes, the Cuban landall at that strength was not expected - as the pro mets have said, it was possibly a Cat 3 at the time...

P.S. Ozonepete, not to undo your title but I'm guessing that this will not happen and will remain offshore - if it were August that'd be another issue but not now...

[Bocadude85]

Looks like they shifted the track a touch west near the northern bahamas. At the 5am advisory she wasnt forecast to go west of 76.6w and the 11am advisory has her making it to 76.9w....not huge but still a westward adjustment.

[ozonepete]

Yes, the Cuban landall at that strength was not expected - as the pro mets have said, it was possibly a Cat 3 at the time...

P.S. Ozonepete, not to undo your title but I'm guessing that this will not happen and will remain offshore - if it were August that'd be another issue but not now...

What's your guess based on?

[brunota2003]

Convection is rapidly blowing up on the western side, much similar in appearance to last night after moving over Jamaica.

[Weatherboy1]

Cloud pattern really seems to be flattening out east-to-west. Typically these kinds of things happen before a track shift (in other words, the outflow cloud shield "points" where the storm is going to go). I wouldn't be surprised to see the slowdown and turn to materialize very soon. Only question is how close it gets to the FL east coast, in my opinion.

[ozonepete]

Getting that dreaded very circular shape again that it got before bombing out last night. The closer to a perfect circle the core gets the faster the pressure will drop at the center and the higher the winds will get.

[tolakram]

Live loop, zoom 2, speed up for full effect: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

Appears, if that's the center that is visible, that north or slightly NW movement has begun. Next recon pass will tell the story.

[Blown Away]

Live loop, zoom 2, speed up for full effect: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

Appears, if that's the center that is visible, that north or slightly NW movement has begun. Next recon pass will tell the story.


[img]http://imageshack.us/a/img42/5843/zzsandy.jpg[/ig]

I agree, it appears to be an abrupt NW jog. Amazing, I love these late season storms and their, at times, crazy tracks.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html