Florida Weather

[Bocadude85]

Tornado damage reports coming in from Northeast Broward County. Multiple cars flipped and trees down.

[Sanibel]

Nino Mexico express back on us again. No significant winds here. Just rain back over the berm again.


Warm, high dew point and comfortable.

[AdamFirst]

Multiple vehicles flipped along Coconut Creek Parkway. Semi trailer toppled over on the Turnpike near the Coconut Creek Parkway exit.

Amateur video on 7News live right now looked like a definite tornado on the ground in that location.

Tornado Warning currently ongoing in rural Broward into Palm Beach and pushing northeast to the coast.

[AdamFirst]

Broward Sheriff's Office rep reports a car was tossed from the southbound lane of the Turnpike over the median and flipped, resting onto the northbound shoulder. Woman inside was taken to the hospital.

[gatorcane]

Latest GFS shows a significant artic outbreak pushing down into Florida around Feb 9th. Need to watch this one closely to see if this could bring a legitimate freeze threat to portions of Central and even interior Southern Florida.

Even if there is no freeze, it does appear Florida is going to go back into the below normal temperature pattern starting early February.

Also regarding the rain, no doubt the "Godzilla El Nino" is in control of Florida's weather lately with copious amounts of rain and severe weather for us in South Florida.

[HURRICANELONNY]

I hope your right gator but there is no signals that show that. It's only the GFS. If Euro and others get on the bandwagon i'd pay attention. Not to burst your bubble but the GFS is known to let us down.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... /nao.shtml

[TheStormExpert]

The latest 12z NAEFS Temperature Anomaly Outlook for February 4th-11th has a 80-90% bullseye of Below Normal Temps. for North/Central FL and a 70-80% chance of Below Normal Temps. for South FL and the Eastern FL Panhandle. The CPC Temperature Outlooks each afternoon tend to follow this it seems.

On another note the latest 12z Euro run this afternoon is no surprise becoming gradually less bullish ion the long term on it's arctic outbreak it is showing since last night's 00z run.



Last Night's 00z Euro run





This Afternoon's 12z Euro run

[TheStormExpert]

Here's the latest CPC Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks. Trend for the 8-14 Day period is Cooler and Average/Below Average rainfall for Florida.

6-10 Day Outlooks(Feb. 2-6):





8-14 Day Outlooks(Feb. 4-10):

[psyclone]

a couple of quick notes... time is ticking for meaningful freeze threats for the ag areas of central/south florida. while king winter reigns at the beginning of February the frequency of freezes begins to drop rapidly after mid month....pretty much just a couple of weeks away. Put another way, we're two thirds through the freeze season (Dec/Jan) with not even a good scare and the final third (Feb) is a front loaded month, especially for those down south. I have always been, and remain more interested in svr wx/heavy rain potential this winter over freeze potential.

[TheStormExpert]

a couple of quick notes... time is ticking for meaningful freeze threats for the ag areas of central/south florida. while king winter reigns at the beginning of February the frequency of freezes begins to drop rapidly after mid month....pretty much just a couple of weeks away. Put another way, we're two thirds through the freeze season (Dec/Jan) with not even a good scare and the final third (Feb) is a front loaded month, especially for those down south. I have always been, and remain more interested in svr wx/heavy rain potential this winter over freeze potential.

Yeah all this rain/cloud cover and severe weather from the extremely active subtropical jet typical from this Strong Godzilla El Niño has probably even lowered the chances further here in Central and South FL. At the moment I believe we've already seen our coldest night of the season here in the Florida Peninsula last Saturday Night/Sunday Morning when the temperature at my house bottomed out at 39.9°F.

IMO, if the winds weren't still up just a bit from the previous day(Saturday) where we in West Palm Beach had a max wind gust I believe of 47mph we'd probably would have dropped even a few more degrees allowing places inland to experience a light freeze. Fortunately that did not happen and the winds stayed up just enough to prevent 100% ideal radiational cooling down in these parts.

[AdamFirst]

Confirmed EF1 tornado touch down in Coconut Creek this morning.

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=2 ... S42-PNSMFL

[Sanibel]

All day rain here. Island at flood levels. Godzilla Nino with more out in the Gulf on the way.

[NDG]

Latest GFS shows a significant artic outbreak pushing down into Florida around Feb 9th. Need to watch this one closely to see if this could bring a legitimate freeze threat to portions of Central and even interior Southern Florida.

Even if there is no freeze, it does appear Florida is going to go back into the below normal temperature pattern starting early February.

Also regarding the rain, no doubt the "Godzilla El Nino" is in control of Florida's weather lately with copious amounts of rain and severe weather for us in South Florida.

I am not buying the GFS with the NAO and AO now both positive and forecasted to stay positive, positive PNA is not enough to bring freezing temps to central FL and parts of interior southern FL.

King Euro is now trending warmer in its 7-10 day range, which makes sense with the forecasted teleconnections.

[Sanibel]

Rained last night. High water marks at year high right now in middle of dry season. Only reaches this level from Tropical Storms. They were not exaggerating this Nino.

6-9 inches rain in 24 hours (est). More rain possible.

[gatorcane]

GFS and CMC really go COLD again for Florida starting late next week and it looks like the below normal to well below normal temps stick around for a while. Possible freeze threat into Central Florida.

GFS


GEM:

[TheStormExpert]

I'll take the cool/colder weather anyday over the usual Florida heat and humidity. But just as NDG stated this morning's teleconnections forecast update has the NAO and AO staying basically in positive territory likely putting an end to any potential decent cool spells in the next 2 weeks. The Euro seems to be the only model with a realistic forecast at the moment.

[TheStormExpert]

Even though this afternoon's 12z NAEFS Temperature Anomaly Outlook has Below Average Temperatures for all of Florida from the period of February 5th-12th I doubt with the state of the NAO and AO despite a +PNA it will be much below normal.

[Bocadude85]

EF0 tornado confirmed in Delray and Boynton Beach today.

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201601282059-KMFL-NOUS42-PNSMFL

[TheStormExpert]

12z GFS is becoming much less enthusiastic with late next weeks cold front for Florida.

[Sanibel]

Chilly today low 60's. Quick warm up starting tomorrow. Hopefully the flood will recede.