SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

[skysummit]

Maximum Potential Intensity Map


On 4/24, category 3 all the way to the coast of Louisiana now.

[WeatherEmperor]

Maximum Potential Intensity Map


On 4/24, category 3 all the way to the coast of Louisiana now.

Forgive me for asking this, but what exactly does that map show? Im a bit new to that.

<RICKY>

[Jim Hughes]

Well it looks like I was wrong La Nina looks as if she is back.

Not to sure why you think this way. It's DEAD...Over. ...DONE.

The recent strong to moderate positive SOI averages will also most likely be history soon. Although that will probably take until summertime because it takes a while to wipe clean a 90 day average.



Jim

[skysummit]

Maximum Potential Intensity Map


On 4/24, category 3 all the way to the coast of Louisiana now.

Forgive me for asking this, but what exactly does that map show? Im a bit new to that.

<RICKY>

The first map shows the potential pressure the Gulf can support. The second map shows the potential hurricane intensity the Gulf can support....today. Just match the colors in the gulf with the key at the top of the map...you'll see the pink is "H3".

[Ivan14]

Well it looks like I was wrong La Nina looks as if she is back.

Not to sure why you think this way. It's DEAD...Over. ...DONE.

The recent strong to moderate positive SOI averages will also most likely be history soon. Although that will probably take until summertime because it takes a while to wipe clean a 90 day average.



Jim

Well the pool off cool water in the Pacific has spreed. The conditions in the U.S. that are usually around in a La Nina such as dryer conditions in the southeast are around. I am no expert tough. It sounds like you know alot more then me about the weather so I respect your opinion.

[CHRISTY]

Maximum Potential Intensity Map


On 4/24, category 3 all the way to the coast of Louisiana now.

Forgive me for asking this, but what exactly does that map show? Im a bit new to that.

<RICKY>

The first map shows the potential pressure the Gulf can support. The second map shows the potential hurricane intensity the Gulf can support....today. Just match the colors in the gulf with the key at the top of the map...you'll see the pink is "H3".

ok so h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 mean cat1 cat2 cat3 and so on?

[skysummit]

Maximum Potential Intensity Map


On 4/24, category 3 all the way to the coast of Louisiana now.

Forgive me for asking this, but what exactly does that map show? Im a bit new to that.

<RICKY>

The first map shows the potential pressure the Gulf can support. The second map shows the potential hurricane intensity the Gulf can support....today. Just match the colors in the gulf with the key at the top of the map...you'll see the pink is "H3".

ok so h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 mean cat1 cat2 cat3 and so on?

Yup....I guess they mean "Hurricane 1, Hurricane 2, and so on. If this is incorrect, please someone correct me.

[CHRISTY]

OF COURSE ITS ONLY APRIL ...ALL WE NEED IS BETTER CONDITONS.COME JUNE,JULY AND AUGUST THINGS MIGHT GET INTERSTING.

[CHRISTY]

[skysummit]

Isn't that air temperature though?

[CHRISTY]

Look At the temps in the carribean....

[Ivan14]

Wow they are really starting to boil.

[tailgater]

Maximum Potential Intensity Map


On 4/24, category 3 all the way to the coast of Louisiana now.

Forgive me for asking this, but what exactly does that map show? Im a bit new to that.

<RICKY>

Maximum Potential Hurricane Intensity

The maps display potential minimum pressure and maximum winds, calculated according to a method developed by Dr. Kerry Emanuel. Dissipative heating is handled according to a method described in Bister and Emanuel (1998). The maps are based on data from the 00Z global operational analysis from NCEP for the date shown on the plot. The top panel shows the potential minimum central pressure for a hurricane at any given location (in millibars). Only values less than 1000mb are shaded. Cyan squares indicate grid points where the algorithm failed to converge. Also shown are the sea surface temperatures (°C). The bottom panel shows the potential maximum wind speed expressed in terms of the type and severity of storm they would represent (TD = Tropical Depression, TS = Tropical Storm, H1-H5 = Hurricanes of category 1-5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale).

This is from the website.

[HurricaneHunter914]

That is CRAZY. Who would of thought that the water in the caribean was already warm enough to support a Cat-5!

[wxwatcher91]

Ive seen those max intensity maps before but does anyone know if there is an archive of them somewhere?

[SouthFloridawx]

[skysummit]

Geez...that last image. It looks as if the GOM turned on the afterburners on warming up.

[Scorpion]

I don't think you should look at the wind portion of those MPI maps. Look at the pressure instead.

[HurricaneHunter914]

I think wind is also important too. Even though the pressure supports cat-5s doesn't mean a cat-5 will form.

[Weatherfreak000]

Wow, I bet temps are pretty damn close to 2005 now. Looking a little scary