ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[KWT]

Yeah thats about where I'd place the center as well Nimbus under that latest little development of convection.
The good thing is that at elast now it is trying to develop convection over the center fairly often, even if it is fairly weak unlike 24hrs when it was totally bare.

[Thunder44]

Looking at latest visible imagery, it looks like the LLC may have actually elongated further east. I can't really close off a tighter center, yet.

[NDG]

Tough to make out where the LLC is this morning with only 3 frames of vis sat loop, but I would say somewhere around 12N & 48.7W covered by some of the convective top clouds. Convergence has increased a little this morning. According to the CIMSS ML wind shear ananlysis it is still getting a light NW winds pinching into the system, enough to keep introducing som ML into the western side of this system, all we need is a change of wind direction at the mid levels and this system will start looking at lot better, which may not be until later on today or may not happen at all today.

[KWT]

If thatsthe center then the system has zoomed off to the west in the last 12hrs, esp given it was at 44.5W just 12hrs ago!
I'd personally place the center around 46W nearer the eastern convection but hey its hard to know with so little vis imagery still.

All partof the fun and games!

[HURAKAN]

The area of convection is weakening and the organization is not as good as it was yesterday. 94L is really depressing!!! When it looks up, then it goes down.

[Blown Away]

[KWT]

I disagree Hurakan, this is better then yesterday. Sure yesterday convection was deeper but it was in a band way to the north of the center it was as good as useless out there, at least today there is some convection over the center which will slowly help the system.

[NDG]

If thatsthe center then the system has zoomed off to the west in the last 12hrs, esp given it was at 44.5W just 12hrs ago!
I'd personally place the center around 46W nearer the eastern convection but hey its hard to know with so little vis imagery still.

All partof the fun and games!

Yeah, fun to figure it out, it could be very well that it has become elongated once again, for a minute I thought the same thing of being near 46W, but then I see SW winds to the WSW of that area.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Is there a recent Quiksat?

[HURAKAN]

We will see what the NHC is thinking in about 20 minutes.

[cycloneye]

Bouy 41041

Pretty gusty over this bouy located at 14.6n-46w far from the low center.

[Blown Away]

I'll put out the official request to wxman57 to find the LLC and mark it w/ a crosshair.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I closed off a LLC near 12 north/48.1. It has some inflow developing. Maybe close to TD, but I don't expect the nhc to upgrade based on not enough convection as of yet.

[Thunder44]

Is there a recent Quiksat?

It's going to miss this system.

[NDG]

OK, one more image to add to the loop, if there is a difined LLC it has to be near 48-49W.

[KWT]

If thats the case then the center ha sprobably reformed NDG tothe west because it would have had to really moved very quickly to get that far west that rapidly.

[HURAKAN]

We are requesting any ship in the area of interest to send their data directly to S2K.

Thanks!

[NDG]

Bouy 41041

Pretty gusty over this bouy located at 14.6n-46w far from the low center.

Noticed that the strongest and lowest pressures it reported was around midnight, when pressure was the tightest, so center of low pressure has to be to its SW now, which backs my thinking that the LLC, is around 48.5W.

[Thunder44]

These are my three theories about the LLC:

It's elongating.
It's keeps reforming further west.
It's picking up speed.

I haven't figured what it's doing yet.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Picking up speed, maybe as fast as 17-18 knots like. But looking very close, if I was the forecaster I would upgrade. But I would forecast little or no strengthing with this system over the next 48 hours.