ATL: HELENE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Nimbus]

Starting to get “that look” now. Convection is gradually building over the center, pressure is dropping, outflow has greatly expanded to almost all quadrants of the storm…could be getting ready for some significant intensification tomorrow.

990.6mb extrap from NOAA is probably 993-992mb in reality, since they usually run a little low.

It is at maximum 991.8 as that is the current buoy observation.

Buoy is at 19 degrees 49 minutes or close to 19.816 degrees they flew south of it..

[Ubuntwo]

Starting to get “that look” now. Convection is gradually building over the center, pressure is dropping, outflow has greatly expanded to almost all quadrants of the storm…could be getting ready for some significant intensification tomorrow.

990.6mb extrap from NOAA is probably 993-992mb in reality, since they usually run a little low.

It is at maximum 991.8 as that is the current buoy observation.

Buoy is at 19 degrees 49 minutes or close to 19.816 degrees they flew south of it..

https://i.imgur.com/1al33c8.jpeg

Could be some slight tilt, they are flying at 700mb.

[AxaltaRacing24]

Helene is starting to get “the fist” look to it in the final daytime frames.

[Nimbus]

It is at maximum 991.8 as that is the current buoy observation.

Buoy is at 19 degrees 49 minutes or close to 19.816 degrees they flew south of it..

https://i.imgur.com/1al33c8.jpeg

Could be some slight tilt, they are flying at 700mb.

Winds at the buoy flipped around to 170 degrees from 330 20 minutes ago so its not like we don't know where the center is.

[Ubuntwo]

Buoy is at 19 degrees 49 minutes or close to 19.816 degrees they flew south of it..

https://i.imgur.com/1al33c8.jpeg

Could be some slight tilt, they are flying at 700mb.

Winds at the buoy flipped around to 170 degrees from 330 20 minutes ago so its not like we don't know where the center is.

Oh for sure. Just a very minor offset between presumed center @ 700mb and the buoy. Almost negligible

[Ubuntwo]

991mb measured on dropsonde with 4kt surface wind.

[Nimbus]

Could be some slight tilt, they are flying at 700mb.

Winds at the buoy flipped around to 170 degrees from 330 20 minutes ago so its not like we don't know where the center is.

Oh for sure. Just a very minor offset between presumed center @ 700mb and the buoy. Almost negligible

Which direction will the recon fixes for this mission line up WNW or NW?

[WaveBreaking]

The complete absence of lightning in and around Helene’s core might be a sign of either how organized the system is becoming or how large its warm core is rn.

[weeniepatrol]

991mb measured on dropsonde with 4kt surface wind.

[Frank P]

Not something anyone wants to see heading your way with the entire GOM ahead of it for additional fuel to light it off.

[eastcoastFL]

NOAA recon found lowest pressure near 19.8N and 85.1W but I think it missed the center because of near by deep convection.

221530 1948N 08506W 6958 03096 9905 +146 +113 355013 016 /// /// 03

https://i.imgur.com/umNDNVU.png

That fix is just west of the buoy which recorded a slightly lower pressure

[weeniepatrol]

Recon data showing a temperature spike at 700-mb, in association with the core of Helene

[WaveBreaking]

Not something anyone wants to see heading your way with the entire GOM ahead of it for additional fuel to light it off.
https://i.ibb.co/sqw7NkS/bigimage.jpg

Completely insane how large this storm is. It’s so large that both the Florida Keys and Honduras are getting hit by outer rainbands at the same time.

[jdjaguar]

Helene is starting to get “the fist” look to it in the final daytime frames.

Moderators prefer you use shrimp

[grapealcoholic]

-90C tower just went up over center. Predicting 987-988 next pass

[Xyls]

Kinda reminds me of Hurricane Frances in appearance at the moment. Although clearly not as strong nor as well defined of an eye.

[weeniepatrol]

[eastcoastFL]

Not something anyone wants to see heading your way with the entire GOM ahead of it for additional fuel to light it off.
https://i.ibb.co/sqw7NkS/bigimage.jpg

She is really getting it together and becoming one very thicc tropical storm.

[ROCK]

Not something anyone wants to see heading your way with the entire GOM ahead of it for additional fuel to light it off.
https://i.ibb.co/sqw7NkS/bigimage.jpg

this is one large tropical storm...Rita-ish or Gilbert-ish

[Nimbus]

-90C tower just went up over center. Predicting 987-988 next pass

This is starting to get scary, I'm wondering if the NW turn has been confirmed?