ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA

[gatorcane]

That would go right over my house if that verified

I'm not thinking an Irene at this point, but I'm not ready to sound the "all-clear" in Southern FL yet.

[Ivanhater]

Here is a pic of the three systems that will make for a complicated forecast

[cycloneye]

[lrak]

It looks like Ida and whats left of 96e are moving in tandem. Look like Central America is going to be "sandwiched"

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

Are they both in the same steering layers?

[Aric Dunn]

Convection starting to firing right over the center.. it could be the beginning ... the WEST inflow is pretty over water now next will be SW and when that happens should begin to go pretty quickly..

[KWT]

Will be interesting to see if it does get as far west as the NHC, my own personal hunch is that it'll be a little east of where they are expecting, also does seem a little quicker...I suspect given the time of year this one will get sucked NE a bit faster then some of the models are expecting.

Nice convective bursting as well, but I don't think the presentation will change all that much even if it does strengthen right back upto hurricane strength.

[caribepr]

And the interest level rises...

[Decomdoug]

And the interest level rises...

Tic, Tic, Tic, omg I can't stand the stress. Here it comes!

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[Dean4Storms]

Looks like a MAJOR timing issue for the NGCoast, if Ida either speeds up more than forecasted and/or the trough is slower pushing through we get something out of this. The opposite happens one would think whatever remains would cross the FL peninsula.

[gatorcane]

convection is becoming more symmetric around the center by the hour....this could ramp up into a hurricane by later tonight...would not surprise me.

[Stormcenter]

Sometimes these model runs are only good for a laugh and nothing else. IMO

[Evil Jeremy]

convection is becoming more symmetric around the center by the hour....this could ramp up into a hurricane by later tonight...would not surprise me.

Tomorrow, possible, but tonight? Going from 35 to 75 in just a matter of hours just after coming off land is unprecedented. Oh, and unlikely (IMO).

[AdamFirst]

convection is becoming more symmetric around the center by the hour....this could ramp up into a hurricane by later tonight...would not surprise me.

Seems a bit of a stretch to reach hurricane strength tonight, but it should definitely be a tropical storm.

[gatorcane]

convection is becoming more symmetric around the center by the hour....this could ramp up into a hurricane by later tonight...would not surprise me.

Seems a bit of a stretch to reach hurricane strength tonight, but it should definitely be a tropical storm.

By late tonight I mean early tomorrow AM (like 3-5AM EST timeframe)...basically about 12 hours or so from now.

[cycloneye]

Here is some damage to a pier in Eastern Nicaragua when Ida made landfall.

[gatorcane]

Latest VIS shows big "thunderheads" now blowing up right near/over the center towering very high up into the atmosphere, also major convection blowing up NNE of the center, those cloud tops are very high up in the atmosphere also, above the general "CDO" canopy that is developing.

[drezee]

yes, ida is heading into that first red bullseye...the second one farther N is even deeper and warmer...

[Dean4Storms]

Well I'm certainly cursing the EURO right now, don't need it, don't want it!!

[N2Storms]

[quote="Dean4Storms"]Well I'm certainly cursing the EURO right now, don't need it, don't want it!![/quote]


Just curious...do you have the link to the latest EURO run? If not, what's it look like?