Which name list will retire all it's original names first?

[CrazyC83]

the EPAC likely won't happen during our lifetime. List 6 somehow managed to retire a name after three consecutive uses between 2002 and 2014 with Kenna, Alma and Odile respectively. Other retirements feel random luck at best. Even with the lack of retirements, List 1 has retired their P name twice (Pauline & Patricia) and List 3 knocked two original names out at once in 2023 (Dora, Otis). List 5 has retired both their I and M names interestingly enough (Ismael and Manuel). And when Manuel was retired, the Atlantic I name was also retired that same season (Ingrid).

List 2 hasn't even had a true retirement (the only one was for political reasons).

[Category5Kaiju]

A bit far in advance but something worth noting considering the state of certain things currently. Assuming this upcoming El Nino of at least moderate/strong strength behaves like others traditionally of its kind, then there's a nonzero chance that it'll last the year and then weaken in spring of 2027. Now, I'm bringing 2027 into the picture because this is also a List 1 year and, currently, the list with the most OG names left currently (vast majority of which are K and beyond). And, assuming next year ends up as one of those classic years involving a powerful El Nino -> neutral/La Nina transition, then I'd also say that there's a nonzero chance that next year could be quite an active Atlantic season.

For one, this would mean the first time in history that List 1 represents two consecutive, above-average years. And two, this would also mean a greater likelihood of an OG name being given to an impactful, mid-late season monster.

[HurricaneRyan]

A bit far in advance but something worth noting considering the state of certain things currently. Assuming this upcoming El Nino of at least moderate/strong strength behaves like others traditionally of its kind, then there's a nonzero chance that it'll last the year and then weaken in spring of 2027. Now, I'm bringing 2027 into the picture because this is also a List 1 year and, currently, the list with the most OG names left currently (vast majority of which are K and beyond). And, assuming next year ends up as one of those classic years involving a powerful El Nino -> neutral/La Nina transition, then I'd also say that there's a nonzero chance that next year could be quite an active Atlantic season.

For one, this would mean the first time in history that List 1 represents two consecutive, above-average years. And two, this would also mean a greater likelihood of an OG name being given to an impactful, mid-late season monster.

One thing I will even point out is that even if we get a Super El Nino, we could still have a destructive storm early in the alphabet. 2015 still gave us two retirements from an Allison type storm in the Caribbean and an October monster. Edouard and Josephine are both original names and in the same positions of the alphabet as Erika and Joaquin were.