Texas Winter 2023-2024

[Iceresistance]

Not the Christmas Torch!

 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1731667170940305898

[Iceresistance]

November 2023 PDO index has just came in at -1.79

[starsfan65]

Not the Christmas Torch!

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1731667170940305898

I hate warm weather!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[starsfan65]

November 2023 PDO index has just came in at -1.79

Is it down or up?

[Stratton23]

Im not buying the cold pattern towards the end of the month, In expecting a mild Christmas for most of the US, teleconnections are unfavorable

[starsfan65]

Im not buying the cold pattern towards the end of the month, In expecting a mild Christmas for most of the US, teleconnections are unfavorable

Who Said?

[Ntxw]

Euro is still on the train of a potent system this coming weekend. We haven't been buying it as hard because the GFS and CMC have been further north. Got watch these things.

[Iceresistance]

November 2023 PDO index has just came in at -1.79

Is it down or up?

October 2023 was -2.26, so it is indeed going down

[Iceresistance]

POW Ponder has this
[youtube]https://youtu.be/V3LdHwoRkU8[/youtube]

[bubba hotep]

Euro is still on the train of a potent system this coming weekend. We haven't been buying it as hard because the GFS and CMC have been further north. Got watch these things.

Nice shift from 00z to 12z, wouldn't take much more to get NTX back in the game. It will be interesting to see what the 12z EPS shows. However, the recent trend on the EPS would suggest that the 12z op run is an outlier at this point.

ETA: If anything, the 12z EPS is a step backward from the 00z. However, I have noticed that the op can pick up trends before the EPS, and we might not see the EPS adjust until 00z tonight.

[HockeyTx82]

Euro is still on the train of a potent system this coming weekend. We haven't been buying it as hard because the GFS and CMC have been further north. Got watch these things.

Nice shift from 00z to 12z, wouldn't take much more to get NTX back in the game. It will be interesting to see what the 12z EPS shows. However, the recent trend on the EPS would suggest that the 12z op run is an outlier at this point.

ETA: If anything, the 12z EPS is a step backward from the 00z. However, I have noticed that the op can pick up trends before the EPS, and we might not see the EPS adjust until 00z tonight.

Back in the game for winter weather or severe weather?

What are we talking about?

[Ntxw]

Euro is still on the train of a potent system this coming weekend. We haven't been buying it as hard because the GFS and CMC have been further north. Got watch these things.

Nice shift from 00z to 12z, wouldn't take much more to get NTX back in the game. It will be interesting to see what the 12z EPS shows. However, the recent trend on the EPS would suggest that the 12z op run is an outlier at this point.

ETA: If anything, the 12z EPS is a step backward from the 00z. However, I have noticed that the op can pick up trends before the EPS, and we might not see the EPS adjust until 00z tonight.

The AO is fairly negative so there some belief a deeper, southerly route is possible. QPF (seasonal trend) and cold air availability is questionable. The southern high plains is the target zone for winter this year from the forecasts, maybe we can sneak something on the fringes.

[WacoWx]

That video was recorded on 12/1...FYI

[Stratton23]

18z GEFS is a bit interesting at hour 216

[bubba hotep]

Euro is still on the train of a potent system this coming weekend. We haven't been buying it as hard because the GFS and CMC have been further north. Got watch these things.

Nice shift from 00z to 12z, wouldn't take much more to get NTX back in the game. It will be interesting to see what the 12z EPS shows. However, the recent trend on the EPS would suggest that the 12z op run is an outlier at this point.

ETA: If anything, the 12z EPS is a step backward from the 00z. However, I have noticed that the op can pick up trends before the EPS, and we might not see the EPS adjust until 00z tonight.

The AO is fairly negative so there some belief a deeper, southerly route is possible. QPF (seasonal trend) and cold air availability is questionable. The southern high plains is the target zone for winter this year from the forecasts, maybe we can sneak something on the fringes.

If you extrapolate the 18z Euro (at your own peril), then it probably ends up deeper and slower than 12z, which was deeper and slower than 00z.

[Brent]

That 12z euro was way closer than I imagined here but will it show it again at 0z is the big question

[HockeyTx82]

What are you all talking about and for who?

I feel like him right now

https://youtu.be/u_Xxayw0uPo?feature=shared

[Stratton23]

They are talking about the bowling ball upper low, and probably oklahoma im guessing as well as wintry precipitation / rain, no chance texas gets in on the wintry part, maybe some rain

[Brent]

They are talking about the bowling ball upper low, and probably oklahoma im guessing as well as wintry precipitation / rain, no chance texas gets in on the wintry part, maybe some rain

Heck the other day it appeared it may not even rain so the fact we're back talking about precip at all is a win

Well see... The 12z euro was a big outlier to be fair

[Stratton23]

tonights model runs are getting interesting in the 9-10 day period