Arlene (01L) Recon Observations

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #121 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 1:50 am

The northwest quad is the weak part which the recon agrees with the buoy that there is 30 mph winds. I'm wondering about the eastern quad where all that convection has formed.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #122 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:05 am

[RECCO | ONE (01L) Mission II, OB #8] Time: 657Z; Lat: 16.9°N; Long: 82.7°W; Turbulence: Lgt Ocnl Mdt; Flt Condition: In cloud; Flt Level: 1214ft; Flt Winds: SW (220°) @ 37 mph; Temp: 73°F; Dewpoint: 73°F; Weather: Thunderstorm; Sfc Winds: N/A; Remarks: Sea Surface Pressure: 1006mb

97779 06574 50169 82719 03700 22032 23239 /0006
RMK AF304 0201A CYCLONE OB 08

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #123 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:15 am

37 mph over southeastern quad...Interesting this storm has become a good bit better oreganized. Earlier today you would be lucky to find a small area of 20 mph winds. May just maybe 25 mph. But now it seems there is a large area of 25 to 30 mph winds. With winds of 35 mph growing over the eastern quad. This baby is now a soild depression.

mobilebay · #124 Postby **mobilebay** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:19 am

The LLC has gotten stronger, but the Satellite signature is horrible.

Normandy · #125 Postby **Normandy** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:28 am

Yea it does look pathetic.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #126 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:36 am

Code: Select all

SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
           INBOUND
 LAT   LON   jHHH  TTDD ddfff
01197 10858 10008 12121 04027
02195 20856 20008 22320 05030
03193 30854 30007 32322 04025
04191 40852 40006 42322 04024
05190 50850 50006 52322 04027
06188 60848 60005 62323 04024
07186 70846 70005 72323 03021
08184 80844 80004 82323 03015
09182 90842 90004 92323 99005
MF195 M0856 MF031
OBS 01 AT 05:36:20Z
OBS 09 AT 06:15:10Z
OBS 01 SFC WND /////
          OUTBOUND
 LAT   LON   jHHH  TTDD ddfff
01180 10837 10007 12323 22015
02178 20836 20006 22423 23018
03176 30834 30007 32423 21020
04174 40832 40007 42423 23019
05173 50831 50007 52423 22020
06171 60829 60007 62423 22021
07169 70827 70006 72121 23034
MF169 M0827 MF034
OBS 01 AT 06:27:00Z
OBS 07 AT 06:57:10Z
OBS 07 SFC WND /////
AF304 0201A CYCLONE      OB 09

mobilebay · #127 Postby **mobilebay** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:39 am

Hey Pepr, if I'm reading that correctly the Max winds on outbound was 34 knots. That's still not going to cut it, if your rooting for Arlene. Also I believe they crossed Northwest to southeast, now they are going to go Northeast to Southwest! Should get another center fix here shortly!

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #128 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:50 am

mobilebay wrote:Hey Pepr, if I'm reading that correctly the Max winds on outbound was 34 knots. That's still not going to cut it, if your rooting for Arlene. Also I believe they crossed Northwest to southeast, now they are going to go Northeast to Southwest! Should get another center fix here shortly!

Yup, I believe you are correct...

#129 Postby **Wpwxguy** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:55 am

34 kts= 39 mph , is'nt 39 the threshold for a tropical storm. Not saying that they should upgrade at this point, I believe it possible for a little higher winds in the NE quad. IMO

Bill

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #130 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:57 am

Wpwxguy wrote:34 kts= 39 mph , is'nt 39 the threshold for a tropical storm. Not saying that they should upgrade at this point, I believe it possible for a little higher winds in the NE quad. IMO

Bill

Remember you have to reduce flight level winds down to the surface. At this point, about 80% is used. 34KT*80%=27.2KT*1.152=31.3 mph.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #131 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:58 am

There could very well be strong winds some where in that storm. But when the drop sounds where droped into that small area they only found that.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #132 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:00 am

[RECCO | ONE (01L) Mission II, OB #10] Time: 750Z; Lat: 17°N; Long: 85.3°W; Turbulence: None; Flt Condition: Clear; Flt Level: 1181ft; Flt Winds: VRB @ 6 mph; Temp: 75°F; Dewpoint: 73°F; Weather: Unknown; Sfc Winds: N/A; Remarks: Sea Surface Pressure: 1006mb

97779 07504 50170 85300 03600 99005 2423/ /0006
RMK AF304 0201A CYCLONE OB 10

mobilebay · #133 Postby **mobilebay** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:00 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:There could very well be strong winds some where in that storm. But when the drop sounds where droped into that small area they only found that.

If they are going to find stronger winds it will be in that northeast quad. It will not be in the Southwest. They are in the SW Quad now.

#134 Postby **Wpwxguy** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:02 am

Yea, I forgot about the reduction. Sorry......Jumping the gun a little! :roll:

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #135 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:02 am

Wpwxguy wrote:Yea, I forgot about the reduction. Sorry......Jumping the gun a little!

ahh... that happens :wink:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #136 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:02 am

I think we got 2 recon planes. I wish we had about 10 we could stay in the storm.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #137 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:05 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I think we got 2 recon planes. I wish we had about 10 we could stay in the storm.

Only one is up right now...

any more would be wasteful.

Anonymous · #138 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:08 am

So they are in the storm right now?

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #139 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:08 am

Thunder~n~Lightning wrote:So they are in the storm right now?

Yes

Anonymous · #140 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:11 am

Thanks for the fast reply senorpepr :wink:

Arlene (01L) Recon Observations

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