2015 Global model runs discussion

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Weatherwatcher98
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Re: Re:

#1221 Postby Weatherwatcher98 » Fri Sep 25, 2015 3:30 pm

Euro and Gfs have flip flopped this year. No model has been good at all this year in my opinion but King Euro has really struggled.
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#1222 Postby LarryWx » Sat Sep 26, 2015 12:12 am

And for our next cartoon, the 0Z Crazy Uncle (CMC) takes Invest 98L, develops it into a TC, turns it WNW underneath highs, develops it into a 994 mb strong TS, and hits near Daytona bch/St. Aug. next Wed night/Thu 9/30-10/1:

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... atl_22.png

Here's an interesting coincidence: the 0Z Euro has a low in about same spot and same time off FL but it is from the Gulf system rather than 98L, very weak, and moving E not W.
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#1223 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 26, 2015 8:09 am

The Euro has some 1006MB low just off the east coast of Florida in the long-range. It also has Ida north of the Lesser Antilles heading W or WSW:

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#1224 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 26, 2015 12:06 pm

12Z GFS has a system hitting Southern Florida from the SW in the long-range
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#1225 Postby Alyono » Sat Sep 26, 2015 12:12 pm

MU has been consistent of a hurricane hitting Hawaii in the day 9-11 range
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Re:

#1226 Postby Yellow Evan » Sat Sep 26, 2015 12:24 pm

Alyono wrote:MU has been consistent of a hurricane hitting Hawaii in the day 9-11 range


Not the 12z GFS. 6z and 0z GFS, yes.
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Re: Re:

#1227 Postby Alyono » Sat Sep 26, 2015 5:01 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:
Alyono wrote:MU has been consistent of a hurricane hitting Hawaii in the day 9-11 range


Not the 12z GFS. 6z and 0z GFS, yes.


it's there on the 12Z. Just at day 11
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Re: Re:

#1228 Postby Yellow Evan » Sat Sep 26, 2015 5:03 pm

Alyono wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:
Alyono wrote:MU has been consistent of a hurricane hitting Hawaii in the day 9-11 range


Not the 12z GFS. 6z and 0z GFS, yes.


it's there on the 12Z. Just at day 11


Correct. Just that the 12z wasn't out past day 10 at the time of my above post.
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#1229 Postby Hammy » Sun Sep 27, 2015 12:25 am

GFS up to it's tricks again, dissipating Ida and then forming a storm out of thin air and making it a major.
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#1230 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Sep 27, 2015 12:40 am

00z GFS Still shows a minimal hurricane, but has it skirting Hawaii.

00z Euro on board. Skirting Hawaii to the west. Really weird hurricane.
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#1231 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Sep 27, 2015 5:45 am

06z GFS:

Image
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#1232 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:54 am

Image

00z Euro
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1233 Postby stormywaves » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:54 pm

Do the models still show something developing and moving in west (south central Texas way)?
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#1234 Postby Hammy » Fri Oct 02, 2015 1:51 am

both Euro and GFS want to form a storm in the central Atlantic east of Bermuda in about a week. It's been showing up for a few runs now.
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1235 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 02, 2015 12:41 pm

Funny cartoon. :)

Image
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1236 Postby BucMan2 » Fri Oct 02, 2015 2:16 pm

That's a great cartoon-thank you
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1237 Postby Weatherwatcher98 » Fri Oct 02, 2015 4:04 pm

cycloneye wrote:Funny cartoon. :)

Image
:lol: :lol: :lol: Love it!!!!
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1238 Postby Weatherwatcher98 » Fri Oct 02, 2015 4:07 pm

where did you get that?
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1239 Postby MetroMike » Fri Oct 02, 2015 4:13 pm

Are the models seeing the wave in the Atlantic nearer to Africa?
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1240 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 02, 2015 4:15 pm

Weatherwatcher98 wrote:where did you get that?



Was posted in Twitter.
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