Global model runs discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1281 Postby KWT » Tue Jul 27, 2010 6:07 pm

What does the Para run show?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1282 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jul 27, 2010 6:09 pm

Para, active as well

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
srainhoutx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6919
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
Location: Haywood County, NC
Contact:
Contact srainhoutx

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1283 Postby srainhoutx » Tue Jul 27, 2010 6:10 pm

Image
0 likes   
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
http://wxinfinity.com/index.php

Facebook.com/WeatherInfinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Top
floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1284 Postby floridasun78 » Tue Jul 27, 2010 6:11 pm

Image ok here shot from nogap for aug 4 that next week
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1285 Postby KWT » Tue Jul 27, 2010 6:12 pm

Yeah there is stuff going on though its no where as agressive withthe Africa wave and weaker with most of the rest of them as well...also note it appears to have a stronger high as well, which makes sense with the strengthening La Nina.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1286 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 27, 2010 6:31 pm

it was only a matter of time before the models extended into August and show a ramp in activity. Climo speaking they should be.....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
srainhoutx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6919
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
Location: Haywood County, NC
Contact:
Contact srainhoutx

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1287 Postby srainhoutx » Tue Jul 27, 2010 6:32 pm

I would not dismiss the Western GOM either. HPC did mentioned this area as early as next week in Final Extended Disco.
0 likes   
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
http://wxinfinity.com/index.php

Facebook.com/WeatherInfinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1288 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 27, 2010 6:46 pm

srainhoutx wrote:I would not dismiss the Western GOM either. HPC did mentioned this area as early as next week in Final Extended Disco.



oh not in August or early Sept for sure....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1289 Postby KWT » Tue Jul 27, 2010 6:48 pm

srainhoutx wrote:I would not dismiss the Western GOM either. HPC did mentioned this area as early as next week in Final Extended Disco.


I actually think that is an area to watch as well, this season clearly thus far has favoured the western portion of the basin, and La ninas do seem to get decent amount of systems in recent events in the W.Gulf/BoC region.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1290 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jul 27, 2010 6:52 pm

I really do hope everyone gets the last minute preps done this week, the models have fired the warning shot imo...
0 likes   
Michael
Top
lonelymike
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 634
Joined: Sat Jul 26, 2008 10:12 am
Location: walton county fla

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1291 Postby lonelymike » Tue Jul 27, 2010 7:39 pm

trust this groups collective intelligence more than some of the other alarmist discussion groups on other sites. :roll:
0 likes   


GO SEMINOLES
Top
User avatar
Riptide
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 753
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Cape May, New Jersey
Contact:
Contact Riptide

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1292 Postby Riptide » Tue Jul 27, 2010 7:41 pm

lonelymike wrote:trust this groups collective intelligence more than some of the other alarmist discussion groups on other sites. :roll:

There are also people on the other end of the spectrum that will simply dismiss TC formation based on probability and history alone.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9621
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Not a state-caster

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1293 Postby Steve » Tue Jul 27, 2010 11:21 pm

>>trust this groups collective intelligence more than some of the other alarmist discussion groups on other sites. :roll:

Dude.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
blp
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2840
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:51 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:
Contact blp

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1294 Postby blp » Tue Jul 27, 2010 11:21 pm

When does the PARA GFS take over tomorrow? Which run?
0 likes   
Top
xcool22

#1295 Postby xcool22 » Tue Jul 27, 2010 11:23 pm

00 or 06z runs
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1296 Postby ROCK » Wed Jul 28, 2010 12:22 am

Steve wrote:>>trust this groups collective intelligence more than some of the other alarmist discussion groups on other sites. :roll:

Dude.



Steve, I am glad I can be a part of your intelligence..... :lol: collectively speaking....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re:

#1297 Postby ROCK » Wed Jul 28, 2010 12:24 am

xcool22 wrote:00 or 06z runs


I thought it was the 12Z.....doesnt matter it will show about the same.....agressively active...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1298 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jul 28, 2010 1:00 am

Well after group think, topped with a shot or two of tequila, :wink: I still think the lid is about to be come off from the season in about a week.
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4227
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1299 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Jul 28, 2010 1:03 am

are we still on track for 15-20 named storms?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1300 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jul 28, 2010 1:19 am

cmc still on it

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2015”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests