ATL: CRISTOBAL - Models

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chaser1
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1341 Postby chaser1 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:17 am

It's really hard for me to believe that the ridge has not built Eastward enough to push the storm toward the Carolinas?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1342 Postby Bocadude85 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:18 am

The 0z Euro is west of the 12z run for what it's worth
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1343 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:20 am

120h

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1344 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:23 am

Previous run for comparison

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1345 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:27 am

HWRF 120h

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1346 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:28 am

144h, escaping

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1347 Postby chaser1 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:30 am

Wow, you're right about the Euro - definitely farther west and a little slower too. As for the HWRF, how does this run compare to the previous one?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1348 Postby Bocadude85 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:33 am

chaser1 wrote:Wow, you're right about the Euro - definitely farther west and a little slower too. As for the HWRF, how does this run compare to the previous one?


The 0z HWRF is much further west then the 18z. And as far as the Euro goes definitely a decent west shift in the short range. The ridging came pretty close to shoving the system west in the 72hour time frame on the Euro.
Last edited by Bocadude85 on Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1349 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:33 am

chaser1 wrote:Wow, you're right about the Euro - definitely farther west and a little slower too. As for the HWRF, how does this run compare to the previous one?


More west than the 18z, but not as west as it was in earlier runs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1350 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:35 am

168h, flying EAST and racking up ACE

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1351 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:37 am

I'm done, goodnight!
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#1352 Postby artist » Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:43 am

Image108 hr hwrf
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1353 Postby stormlover2013 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:50 am

We'll guess it looks like a fishy right now
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1354 Postby sponger » Sat Aug 23, 2014 3:02 am

Time to gas up the generator just in case. We will have a good feel by Sunday how strong that ridge will be.
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#1355 Postby hiflyer » Sat Aug 23, 2014 3:09 am

whoa fish or cape canaveral...now there is a split. :eek: Next few days gonna be interesting to watch to see how it comes off the DR and plays pinball in the islands...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1356 Postby southerngale » Sat Aug 23, 2014 4:56 am

GFS 06z @ 96h

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1357 Postby southerngale » Sat Aug 23, 2014 5:05 am

GFS 06z @ 120h

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#1358 Postby Alyono » Sat Aug 23, 2014 5:06 am

it also appears to be quite a bit weaker.

I do not foresee any rapid intensification. The building upper high to the nrothwest of the system should restrict the outflow. Instead, only gradual intensification appears likely in the Bahamas. Still likely will gt a hurricane out of this. However, it may be more akin to Erin in 1995 vs a major hurricane
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#1359 Postby bahamaswx » Sat Aug 23, 2014 5:12 am

Can you post a link to where I can find these models? I lost my bookmarks long ago.
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#1360 Postby southerngale » Sat Aug 23, 2014 5:15 am

bahamaswx wrote:Can you post a link to where I can find these models? I lost my bookmarks long ago.


The one I just posted from is http://www.instantweathermaps.com/. It can be found at the top of this page under Model Sites.
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