Disturbance off NE Florida (Now invest 96L)

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Bertha08

Re: Re:

#141 Postby Bertha08 » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:45 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:
Bertha08 wrote:What would the general direction be, in terms of "landfall"?

It's far too early; firstly, we need a LLC. Secondly, the surface low will likely drift lethargically WSW and linger over the E GOM over the upcoming days.

Thank you both. I read on another forum that this system is more subtropical than tropical at the moment. Also does anyone else notice the dry air on the water loop?
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tpr1967
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.

#142 Postby tpr1967 » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:46 pm

Agree MiamiensisWx.
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#143 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:47 pm

accuweather article
http://www.accuweather.com/news-top-hea ... 7-15_14:44
towards the bottom- update from the morning, so old- but
says if the low goes over water then development is possible.
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Ivanhater
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.

#144 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:47 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:EWG (or anyone else)...any updates from JB on this?
I wish, but unfortunately the answer is no.


Ah ok...
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.

#145 Postby Rob H » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:49 pm

I am in the countyrside area of clearwater. 28N 82.7W. lot of t storms over tampa moving to the east of us moving nnw.
clouds to the west moving sse. indicates a definate spin.
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#146 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:49 pm

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurric ... n=atlantic

Infrared Loop shows expansion of convection off SW Florida. This is
going to bring a lot of rain to FL...
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.

#147 Postby Nimbus » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:50 pm

The rotation of the thunderstorms started this morning but it has become very pronounced tonight. With wind shifts at the surface maybe the NHC will mention it at 11 or they will make it an invest?
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#148 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:55 pm

It looks to me like the circulation may have migrated a little further west, possibly now right under the area of deepest convection well offshore...

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... W&loop=yes

Anyone else agree?
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Re:

#149 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:58 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:It looks to me like the circulation may have migrated a little further west, possibly now right under the area of deepest convection well offshore...

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... W&loop=yes

Anyone else agree?

There is no LLC. The rotation is only found at the mid levels at this time.
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Re:

#150 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:58 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:It looks to me like the circulation may have migrated a little further west, possibly now right under the area of deepest convection well offshore...

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... W&loop=yes

Anyone else agree?


I agree EWG...either way..the whole area should be moving SW with time, even further away from land, so this has a great shot imo...
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Re: Re:

#151 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:59 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:It looks to me like the circulation may have migrated a little further west, possibly now right under the area of deepest convection well offshore...

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... W&loop=yes

Anyone else agree?

There is no LLC. The rotation is only found at the mid levels at this time.
Yes, I agree on that. I am speaking about the mid level circulation. It seems like it may be a bit further west now based on the latest radar trends.
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Re: Re:

#152 Postby k4sdi » Tue Jul 15, 2008 8:12 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
MiamiensisWx wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:It looks to me like the circulation may have migrated a little further west, possibly now right under the area of deepest convection well offshore...

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... W&loop=yes

Anyone else agree?

There is no LLC. The rotation is only found at the mid levels at this time.
Yes, I agree on that. I am speaking about the mid level circulation. It seems like it may be a bit further west now based on the latest radar trends.


I dunno, I bet we do have a broad LLC, after all those storms are surface based......
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.

#153 Postby Aquawind » Tue Jul 15, 2008 8:15 pm

I bet we do have a broad LLC, after all those storms are surface based......


Yep.. The cells are looking like it could be. Qscat next run maybe?
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.

#154 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jul 15, 2008 8:17 pm

Image
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.

#155 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 15, 2008 8:18 pm

Something curling up to our NW. Warm breezes and showers. Heavy band moving in off Gulf.
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#156 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Jul 15, 2008 8:19 pm

Sanibel hows the winds at your location with that squall that is moving
into fort myers/naples area??
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.

#157 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 15, 2008 8:22 pm

Over 5 inches in the bucket from last two days. Light winds were steady from the south today. Warm tropical feel to breezes now. Frogs making noise outside now.
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#158 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Jul 15, 2008 8:32 pm

About 3-4 inches here I estimate in last 24 hours.
Tropical- looks like the convective cluster is intensifying
near SW Florida. Should be an invest soon.
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.

#159 Postby Nimbus » Tue Jul 15, 2008 8:39 pm

I could not find any surface pressure drops yet, but these circulations that form on the end of fronts can take a while to work their way to the surface.
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Jason_B

Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.

#160 Postby Jason_B » Tue Jul 15, 2008 8:41 pm

Blob continues to grow.
http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif
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