Well Defined Wave off African Coast

[cycloneye]

Ok lets stay on topic.

The low is still inland close or beneath the convection that is in Senegal.

Pic at 6:00 PM EDT

[Gustywind]

Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Last Updated: 17:42 GMT le 20 juillet 2008
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200807

Elsewhere in the tropics
Three of our four reliable computer models for are predicting a new tropical depression will develop off the coast of Africa 3-5 days from now.

I'm not sure, but today might mark the first time on record that we've have three named storms on the same day in July in the Atlantic. The year 2005 came close, when Dennis and Emily existed on July 11, and Cindy's extratropical remnants were over New England.

[HURAKAN]

Link to see the loop: http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/De ... /index.htm



Impressive the organization of this system. See the loop before comenting. You will see that the top is the low pressure system, great rotation.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM CRISTOBAL...CENTERED ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM DOLLY...LOCATED
ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

A VIGOROUS AND WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER WESTERN
AFRICA A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF DAKAR SENEGAL. THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE VERY QUICKLY AFTER IT
EMERGES INTO THE EASTERN ATLANTIC ON TUESDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[HURAKAN]

WOW

I had never seen that before.

[MiamiensisWx]

I can never recall a similar paragraph in the TWO or TWD over numerous years of watching the tropics...

[gatorcane]

Wow

[Brent]

WOW!

Might just get our 3 storms at once(barely missed today since Bertha became Extratropical before Dolly formed).

[CycloneNL]

The most eastern TD ??

[BigA]

I have never seen the NHC issue an outlook for a wave over Africa. I also don't know if I have ever seen the term "very quickly."

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Thats what I call being aggressive on a system..

[Jason_B]

NHC has never used aggressive wording like that for a wave still OVER Africa. Definitely have to keep an eye on this one.

[hurrican19]

Saw this on another forum. Very interesting to have a "Area of Concern" over land, lol.

[cycloneye]

Surprise for me as I thought the first TWO was going to be after the low splashed into the water.Its a first from NHC.

[HURAKAN]

Look where the area is shaded, completely over Africa. Wow.

[zaqxsw75050]

wow... the tropic is very busy for July... if this forms, we would have 5 named storms, which is about half of the season's average and we are not even into Aug and Sept...

[O Town]

3 of you posted the same graph in at the same time, lol.
Yep they are all over this wave, funny to see the area circled over land.

[funster]

Wow - the NHC so bullish on the wave. I'm full of shock.

[Cryomaniac]

Is there a chance this gets called TD5 as soon as it hits the water?

[cycloneye]

For sure right after low hits water we will see 97L.