Tropical Depression Beatriz,It has dissipated

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#141 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 23, 2005 9:34 pm

dhweather wrote:She left early today!


From early this morning she caved her grave to rest in peace.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#142 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jun 23, 2005 10:33 pm

A Beatriz Fact: The last "B" storm to reach hurricane status in the EPAC was Hurricane Beatriz in 1999, we will have to wait for 2006 to see if "Bud" will break the ice.
0 likes   

User avatar
Andrew92
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3247
Age: 41
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 12:35 am
Location: Phoenix, Arizona

#143 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Jun 23, 2005 11:13 pm

I don't think there's ever been a Hurricane Bud. It's been a TS, but not a hurricane.

And Beatriz... :Door:

-Andrew92
0 likes   

Scorpion

#144 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jun 24, 2005 12:41 am

Bud? Lol nice name. Hurricane Bud is coming!!
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#145 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 24, 2005 3:35 am

Tropical Depression Beatriz Discussion Number 11


Statement as of 2:00 am PDT on June 24, 2005



high-resolution data from a 0143z Quikscat pass indicated that the
highest winds in the circulation were about 25 kt. This value will
be used for the advisory intensity...but the cyclone may be even
weaker than that by now. A sporadic puff or two of deep convection
may still occur within the system...but dissipation to a remnant
low is called for in less than 24 hours.
Initial motion estimate is 285/9...mainly based on continuity since
the center is difficult to find on infrared imagery. Little change
is made to the track forecast from the previous advisory. The
low-level steering winds are forecast to weaken over the next
couple of days...so a gradual slowing of forward speed is
predicted. Later in the forecast period...Beatriz's remnant low
will probably dissipate before being pulled significantly southward
or southeastward into a trailing cyclonic circulation.
Forecaster Pasch


forecast positions and Max winds

initial 24/0900z 17.5n 112.5w 25 kt
12hr VT 24/1800z 17.7n 113.4w 20 kt...dissipating
24hr VT 25/0600z 17.9n 114.3w 20 kt...remnant low
36hr VT 25/1800z 17.9n 115.1w 20 kt...remnant low
48hr VT 26/0600z 17.7n 116.0w 20 kt...remnant low
72hr VT 27/0600z 17.5n 116.5w 20 kt...remnant low
96hr VT 28/0600z...dissipated


Next? 8-)
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#146 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 24, 2005 7:56 am

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEATRIZ (EP022005) ON 20050624 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050624 1200 050625 0000 050625 1200 050626 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.7N 112.8W 18.5N 114.7W 19.1N 116.5W 19.8N 117.8W
BAMM 17.7N 112.8W 18.6N 114.2W 19.2N 115.6W 19.8N 116.8W
LBAR 17.7N 112.8W 18.3N 114.4W 19.3N 116.0W 20.3N 117.3W
SHIP 20KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 20KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050626 1200 050627 1200 050628 1200 050629 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.3N 119.2W 23.0N 121.4W 29.2N 118.3W 34.1N 110.1W
BAMM 19.8N 118.1W 21.2N 121.1W 23.8N 122.7W 26.1N 123.4W
LBAR 20.9N 118.1W 23.4N 119.3W 27.6N 119.6W 31.2N 118.3W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.7N LONCUR = 112.8W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 17.1N LONM12 = 111.3W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 16.7N LONM24 = 109.4W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM


The last advisory will be written at 11 AM EDT or 8 AM PDT.Rest In Peace Betty.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#147 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:42 am

Image

Tropical Depression Beatriz Discussion Number 12


Statement as of 8:00 am PDT on June 24, 2005



deep convection has been absent for about 24 hours...and the
depression is dissipating into a swirl of low clouds. Initial
motion is estimated at 290/8...and the remnant low should slow down
some more and turn westward during the next 24 hours as low-level
steering currents weaken. An eventual drift toward the southwest
or even south could occur before the low dissipates in two to three
days...if it comes under the influence of a new cyclonic
circulation that is forecast by some of the dynamical models to
develop farther east.

This is the last advisory on Beatriz. Future information on the
remnant low can be found in high seas forecasts issued by the
Tropical Prediction Center under AWIPS header nfdhsfepi and WMO
header fzpn02 kwbc.

Forecaster Knabb


forecast positions and Max winds

initial 24/1500z 17.9n 113.1w 20 kt...dissipating
12hr VT 25/0000z 18.1n 113.8w 20 kt...remnant low
24hr VT 25/1200z 18.2n 114.6w 20 kt...remnant low
36hr VT 26/0000z 18.2n 115.4w 20 kt...remnant low
48hr VT 26/1200z 18.1n 116.0w 20 kt...remnant low
72hr VT 27/1200z 18.0n 116.5w 20 kt...remnant low
96hr VT 28/1200z...dissipated

OFFICIALLY, BEATRIZ HAS LEFT THE BUILDING. :blowup:
Last edited by HURAKAN on Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#148 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jun 24, 2005 10:10 am

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#149 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 24, 2005 10:12 am

Good cracterization of it. :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: gib, Hammy, HurricaneRyan and 532 guests