Well Organized Low Pressure SSW of Cape Verde Islands

#141 Postby **Vortex** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 9:46 pm

I'm going with TD at 11am as they will probablly wait to confirm with first visibles and TS at 5pm. Also, i think this gets the name Karen as I expect North Atlantic to become Jerry...

#142 Postby **Vortex** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:00 pm

This is undergoing rapid organization this evening. We have a well defined LLC. Deep convection is firing over the center and very favorable conditions aloft. This could be a beauty in a few days..It will be interesting to see the 00z model output tonight...

Amazing this isnt an invest yet..If this was in the gulf it would be on the verge of a TS.

230 UTC

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

#143 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:09 pm

Is this is not a TD now,is close to be one.

Sanibel · #144 Postby **Sanibel** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:11 pm

Wait until visible tomorrow to see if it has a circulation. (Plenty of room in front of this one)

jhamps10 · #145 Postby **jhamps10** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:13 pm

yep, I was just thinking that when I seen the loop that vortex posted. really has developed tonight, and honestly, I see no excuses as to why this is not an invest.

#146 Postby **Vortex** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:14 pm

by the way with the above image(metosat) cyclone posted we don't lost images to the eclipse :lol:

punkyg · #147 Postby **punkyg** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:18 pm

This wave is doing pretty good. invest at maybe 3am maybe

or tomorrow morning possible. you know i just can't wait to see how it looks on the visible imagery tomorrow.

#148 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:21 pm

At this rate, TD12 tomorrow (assuming the Azores storm is named soon).

#149 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:24 pm

The Latest at 2:45 UTC

Every new image comes back with more impressive system.

By the way,look at the left how organized is the east of Windwards one.

punkyg · #150 Postby **punkyg** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:28 pm

This is so exciting ok does some have a link to the interactive tropical site
you know the one where you just click any area on the map and it goes there any way got a link to it i'm on a different computer and this one don't have it.

#151 Postby **Vortex** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:31 pm

If I recall correctly only about 10 named storms have formed south of 10N in the last 100 years...

#152 Postby **RL3AO** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:32 pm

Only 10? That seems low.

HurricaneMaster_PR · #153 Postby **HurricaneMaster_PR** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:33 pm

It definetly looks good!

punkyg · #154 Postby **punkyg** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:36 pm

What will Dr Seve lyons say about this wave.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #155 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:39 pm

looks very good with spin and convection

tropical depression within 48 hours imo

Derek Ortt · #156 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:39 pm

this will be tagged as an invest when T numbers can be calculated for this system

Right now, the center does not appear to be well enough defined

JTD · #157 Postby **JTD** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:39 pm

GFS should be starting to roll.

HurricaneMaster_PR · #158 Postby **HurricaneMaster_PR** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:41 pm

00Z TPC Surface Analysis Chart

#159 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:44 pm

#160 Postby **Vortex** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:46 pm

I smell an invest coming shortly...

Well Organized Low Pressure SSW of Cape Verde Islands

Re: Well Organized Low Pressure South of Cape Verde Islands

Re: Well Organized Low Pressure South of Cape Verde Islands

Re: Well Organized Low Pressure South of Cape Verde Islands

Re: Well Organized Low Pressure South of Cape Verde Islands

Re: Well Organized Low Pressure SSW of Cape Verde Islands

Re: Well Organized Low Pressure SSW of Cape Verde Islands

Re: Well Organized Low Pressure SSW of Cape Verde Islands

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