Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

Martinica and Guadeloupe are on orange alert for a risk of strong showers and tstorms.

[tropicana]

UPDATE Fri Apr 19/13 830pmET

A resurgence of pockets of very heavy rainfall over portions of the island chain, again most especially affecting the Northern Windward and Leeward Islands. This has been the case for the last few days.... and today was another day of impressive rainfall for some spots... for the past 24 hours ending at 8pm on Friday night... Arnos Vale St Vincent 8mm, Hewannora Airport St Lucia 28mm, Vigie St Lucia 27mm, LeLamentin Martinique 40mm, Le Raizet Guadeloupe 62mm (thunderstorms), Golden ROck St Kitts 39mm, VC Bird Antigua 27mm (thunderstorms), Canefield Airport Dominica 46mm (thunderstorms) and another unprecedented rainfall amount out of Melville Hall Dominicia 163mm (near 7 inches of rain) after at least 7 inches of rain over the last 2 days prior. This has lead to serious land slides on Dominica, and sinkholes developing, with flashflooding. At least 2 people lost their lives early this morning on the island due to flooding it appears, according to reports. Other lesser rainfall reports from Juliana Airport St Maarten 5mm, Moriah Tobago 3mm..and in the Western Caribbean..Montego Bay Jamaica 10mm. Forecast models are indicating even more rainfall for some of the islands this weekend, with surging moisture levels.

-justin-

[Gustywind]

Looks Dominica is always with the assaults of these nasty rains. This report seems to confirm unhopefully the death of two people .

http://stormcarib.com/reports/current/dominica.shtml


- RAIN, RAIN AND MORE RAIN
•From: Lisette Stevens <jaco.lass at gmail.com>
•Date: Fri, 19 Apr 2013 11:38:02 -0300


Dominica has been deluged by rain over the last 48 hours! It was particularly bad all through last night and we actually got some lightning and had to let our dog Tippy sleep in the house with us - Tippy is like me terrified of lightning. We woke up to very sad news that the main road opened up between Ponte Casse and the Emerald pool near Shayanns bar this morning around 5.30 a.m. The road has developed a 40' chasm through it. A jeep travelling towards Roseau drove/fell into the hole and two people have died, a third managed to get out and is being treated at the local hospital. The road between us and the Hillsborough bridge is closed due to a landslide by the old Layou Hotel and the Layou river has run amok again. This is supposed to be the dry season. We seriously need some sunshine. It looks though that we could get more rain in the next 24 hours.

[Gustywind]

From the weather Dominca News OnLine... My condoleances to these families.

UPDATE: Two dead in Pond Casse accident
Dominica News Online - Friday, April 19th, 2013 at 6:30 AM

http://dominicanewsonline.com/news/home ... -accident/

DNO can now confirm that two members of the Dominica National Football Team were killed in an accident in the Pond Casse area on Friday.

This is according to Education Minister, Petter Saint Jean, who was on the scene.

The two men have been identified as National Coach Kurt Hector and Norran Jno Hope.

Their mangled bodies were removed from the vehicle earlier.

The accident occurred when the vehicle in which they were traveling plunged into a huge ditch caused by heavy rains.

It happened around 5:30 am, according to the police. The men were on their way to meet their team mates for a trip to St. Vincent to compete in the Windward Island Football tournament.

Another member of the national football team, Joslyn Prince, who was traveling with Hector and Jno Hope, though injured was able to climb out of the ditch and taken to the Princess Margaret Hospital where he was taken into surgery this morning, according to reports.

EDITOR’S NOTE: DNO would like to extend deepest condolences to all those affected by this tragedy.

[Gustywind]

Rains are coming in our way in Guadeloupe. We're always under an orange alert. It's raining more than nicely here. Numerous areas in Guadeloupe are flooded. If the situation evolves quickly we could have more troubles. Hopefully things don't seem too bad.... for the moment. Anyway, we must have to monitor carefully the situation.
Given our pro mets of Meteo-France Guadeloupe, looks like the most of these heavy rains should increase seriously tommorow but these wet weather conditions stall til Sunday and even Monday. We will see, i will keep your informed as possible.

[Gustywind]

Here are some impressive pics of the nasty amount of rain who falled in Dominica...

http://dominicanewsonline.com/news/home ... -environs/


Landslide, flooding in Castle Bruce and environs
Dominica News Online - Friday, April 19th, 2013 at 11:31 AM

http://dominicanewsonline.com/news/home ... -environs/

Parliamentary Representative for the Castle Bruce constituency, Johnson Drigo, has urged residents in the area to stay out of harm’s way as landslides and flooding have been reported in that section of the island due to heavy rains.

“The Fair Trade office has flooded and flooding continues to be one of our major concerns at the moment,” he told DNO on Friday morning. “There is a major landslide near the Emerald Pool area and the road from Castle Bruce to San Sauveur is impassable because of heavy flooding. Some rocks have fallen in San Sauveur which needs to be cleared.”

He added that there is also a small landslide in the Petite Soufriere area.

“I am asking everyone to please stay indoors and away from the flooding unless they have some sort of emergency,” Drigo said. “Allow the emergency personnel to do their work and stay out of harm’s way.”

Heavy rainfalls have been affecting the island over the past two days which have resulted in water shortages, flooding and landslides in several parts of the island.

[Gustywind]

The latest on Guadeloupe

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TFFR.html


Current Weather Conditions:
Le Raizet, Guadeloupe, Guadeloupe

(TFFR) 16-16N 061-31W 11M

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Conditions at
Apr 19, 2013 - 10:00 PM EDT
Wind from the NE (050 degrees) at 7 MPH (6 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Weather Towering cumulus clouds observed
Temperature 73 F (23 C)
Dew Point 71 F (22 C)
Relative Humidity 94%
Pressure (altimeter) 30.06 in. Hg (1018 hPa)
ob TFFR 200200Z 05006KT 9999 FEW010 FEW016TCU SCT016 BKN060 23/22 Q1018 TEMPO 3000 SHRA

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



24 Hour Summary

Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 10 PM (2) Apr 19 73 (23) 71 (22) 30.06 (1018) NE 7
9 PM (1) Apr 19 73 (23) 71 (22) 30.06 (1018) ENE 7 light rain showers
8 PM (0) Apr 19 75 (24) 73 (23) 30.03 (1017) NNE 10 showers in the vicinity
7 PM (23) Apr 19 73 (23) 71 (22) 30.00 (1016) E 3
6 PM (22) Apr 19 75 (24) 71 (22) 30.00 (1016) Variable 2
5 PM (21) Apr 19 75 (24) 71 (22) 29.97 (1015) E 6 light rain
4 PM (20) Apr 19 77 (25) 73 (23) 29.97 (1015) Variable 2 light rain
3 PM (19) Apr 19 77 (25) 73 (23) 29.97 (1015) Variable 2 light rain
2 PM (18) Apr 19 75 (24) 73 (23) 29.97 (1015) Variable 2 light rain
1 PM (17) Apr 19 73 (23) 71 (22) 30.00 (1016) SSE 6 light rain
Noon (16) Apr 19 73 (23) 71 (22) 30.03 (1017) SSW 5 light rain
11 AM (15) Apr 19 71 (22) 69 (21) 30.06 (1018) SE 3 heavy rain
10 AM (14) Apr 19 75 (24) 71 (22) 30.06 (1018) SSE 7 light rain with thunder
9 AM (13) Apr 19 80 (27) 71 (22) 30.03 (1017) E 10 showers
8 AM (12) Apr 19 80 (27) 73 (23) 30.03 (1017) ENE 9
7 AM (11) Apr 19 77 (25) 73 (23) 30.00 (1016) E 6
6 AM (10) Apr 19 73 (23) 73 (23) 30.00 (1016) Variable 3
5 AM (9) Apr 19 71 (22) 71 (22) 29.97 (1015) Calm
4 AM (8) Apr 19 71 (22) 71 (22) 29.94 (1014) WSW 6
3 AM (7) Apr 19 71 (22) 69 (21) 29.94 (1014) Variable 2 light rain showers
2 AM (6) Apr 19 71 (22) 69 (21) 29.97 (1015) Variable 2 light rain showers
1 AM (5) Apr 19 71 (22) 69 (21) 30.00 (1016) E 18 rain showers
Midnight (4) Apr 19 75 (24) 71 (22) 29.97 (1015) W 3
Oldest 11 PM (3) Apr 18 77 (25) 71 (22) 30.00 (1016) Calm

[Gustywind]

WEATHER. Guadeloupe is passed to orange for heavy rains and thunderstorms

franceantilles.fr 19.04.2013
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 214066.php

The sky remains busy. Quite frequent rains persist over the region. They are sometimes more sustained and stormy, particularly this Saturday. It expected no significant improvement before Sunday evening.

A moist and unstable air mass settled on the region, associated to altitude conditions for stormy developments. The sky remains busy. Quite frequent rains persist. They are sometimes more sustained and stormy, particularly this Saturday. Do not expect a significant improvement before Sunday evening.
In the past 24 hours, 50 to 80 millimetres of water have Fallen on Grande-Terre, up to 100 mm locally on the Grands-Fonds. On the side of Basse-Terre, the most significant accumulations are observed on the heights of Capesterre and the massif of the Soufriere, where there are 100 to 120 mm.

Next newsletter: this Saturday around 6 AM.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. The weather this weekend in PR/ USVI ans BVI will be dominated by a trough that is nearby. That will bring scattered showers to the islands.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
407 AM AST SAT APR 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH OF THE DOM REP WILL
DRIFT EWD NEXT 48 HRS AND MERGE WITH A LARGER CUTOFF LOW OVR THE
CNTRL ATLC MON. STRONG HIGH PRES ACROSS THE NATLC WILL CONTINUE TO
MAINTAIN A STRONG PRES GRADIENT THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH OF
PUERTO PLATA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WITH A STRONG 100-KT JET
STREAK OVR THE CARIB SEA SOUTH OF PR PER MOISTURE GRADIENT ON
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND AMDAR DATA. LATEST GFS SHOWS STRONG
FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE ON LEFT EXIT REGION OF JET STREAK FOCUSED OVER
ERN PR...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE USVI AND THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL
WATERS LATER TODAY. ALSO...MID LEVEL COOL POOL WITH H5 TEMPS OF
-10C WILL BE OVR PR AND THE USVI LATER TODAY. THESE TEMPERATURES
ARE TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR. NEEDLESS TO SAY...CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE AND
FORCING WILL BE PLENTY TO GENERATE VERY ROBUST CONVECTION. EXPECT
HAIL POSSIBLY SEVERE TO BE COMMON WITH THE MOST INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS.

BY SUNDAY...UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WITH
STRONG UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE LEADING TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND
DRYING. IN FACT...PWAT IS FCST TO DROP TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS
BELOW NORMAL SUN AND MON AS SHORTWAVE RIDGING BUILDS IN.

ANOTHER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE AREA WED-THU WITH SOME PRETTY
GOOD JET DYNAMICS AND VERY COOL AIR ALOFT TO YIELD ANOTHER ROUND
OF POTENTIALLY ACTIVE WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION...SHRA/TSRA ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH
AT LEAST 21/04Z. AS A RESULT...MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS AND TEMPO
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED IN AND AROUND NCM/KPK...IST/ISX
AND JSJ THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AT JPS AND JMZ...MVFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED AFT 20/17Z THROUGH ABOUT 20/21Z. EAST NORTHEAST WINDS AT
15 TO 25 KTS WILL PREVAIL TODAY.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS 6-8 FT AND WINDS NEAR 20 KT. MAIN THREAT WILL BE
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MAY PRODUCE PROLIFIC LIGHTNING AND
SMALL HAIL. SMW`S MAY BE REQUIRED.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 76 84 76 / 50 60 60 20
STT 85 76 84 76 / 70 40 40 20

[cycloneye]

Code: Select all

JAMAICA WEATHER

 LOCAL FORECAST

April 20 2013
 

Significant Feature: High pressure ridge across the northern Caribbean.

Morning:  Mainly fair.

Afternoon:  Partly cloudy and windy with isolated showers mainly over eastern and central parishes.

Tonight: Fair.

Winds:  Will reach in excess of 15 knots (18 mph)

Temperatures: High: 32C (90F)     Low: 25C (77F)
 


[Gustywind]

Hey Msbee, what' s up in the Northern Leewards? Any troubles in your area? We will be glad to have some infos I'm safe and dry. No reports of death in Guadeloupe and big damages.

[Gustywind]

WEATHER. Vigilance orange for heavy rains and thunderstorms

franceantilles.fr 20.04.2013

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 214066.php

Precipitation is reactivated during morning and become again quite frequent. They are sometimes supported and stormy.

Good showers fell in the first part of night. Currently, the rain faded temporarily and are low. Precipitation is reactivated during morning and become again quite frequent. They are sometimes supported and stormy, adding new rollups to those fallen yesterday. No significant improvement before Sunday evening.
In the last 24 hours, it fell 74 mm in Anse-Bertrand, le Raizet 84 mm and 110 mm in Sainte-Anne. There are also 50 mm at Sainte-Rose and Basse-Terre. On the heights of Capesterre and the massif of the Soufrière, estimated Accruals are 100 to 120 mm.Next newsletter: this Saturday around 12 hours.

[Gustywind]

Here is the chart showing both islands Guadeloupe and Martinica on orange alert for a risk of strong showers and tstorms.

http://www.meteo.gp/donnees/bulletin/vi ... ilance.php

[Gustywind]

From a friend of Dominica...

http://stormcarib.com/reports/current/dominica.shtml

- Getting Hammered.
•From: Jackie Fullbrook <fullbrookt at gmail.com>
•Date: Sat, 20 Apr 2013 09:02:22 -0500


Good morning to you all, from very dry to very, very, wet. The island is getting hammered. Land slides across the island. Roads flooded. Rivers swollen and bursting their banks. Rocks and boulders across roads. And the very worst of it is up in the Pond Casse area where a 40ft. deep chasm appeared across the road. Unfortunately two people have lost their lives when the,bus they were travelling in ended up in the chasm. Very sad. Our back balcony is pretty well sheltered from wind and rain. Not this morning though. The whole balcony got a good soaking. I haven't checked the front yet but that is probably a paddling pool by now. Watching the run off from the Roseau river, in between the whiteouts, and the mud is going for miles out to sea. Hopefully this trough we are in will pass soon.

You all take care. Enjoy your day. Drive safe.

[msbee]

Hey Msbee, what' s up in the Northern Leewards? Any troubles in your area? We will be glad to have some infos I'm safe and dry. No reports of death in Guadeloupe and big damages.

Hi Gusty
glad all is ok down there.
We are ok here..We actually could use some rain.
It is cloudy and very windy but no rain.
The island is still on the dry side.
Looks Like things are not so good in Dominica

[Gustywind]

Hey Msbee, what' s up in the Northern Leewards? Any troubles in your area? We will be glad to have some infos I'm safe and dry. No reports of death in Guadeloupe and big damages.

Hi Gusty
glad all is ok down there.
We are ok here..We actually could use some rain.
It is cloudy and very windy but no rain.
The island is still on the dry side.
Looks Like things are not so good in Dominica

Ok thanks for you report. Glad to see that all is ok... even if you're waiting for some nice rain contrary to Guadeloupe. I will try to send you some !

[cycloneye]

Scattered showers will continue to move thru PR this afternoon and tonight.Sunday and the early part of next week looks more dry.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
257 PM AST SAT APR 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT TO THE
SOUTHEAST BEFORE IT MERGES WITH A LARGER CUTOFF LOW ON MONDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN STRONG AND CONTINUE TO CAUSE BREEZY CONDITIONS TO THE LOCAL
AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REMAINED OVER THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND A FEW DEVELOPED ACROSS WESTERN PUERTO RICO
AFTER THE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPED. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. MIMIC-TPW AND GFS MODEL SUGGESTS
THAT DRIER AIR IS MOVING IN AND IS EXPECTED TO BE IN OUR AREA
BY TOMORROW MORNING. IN ADDITION...GFS MODEL SUGGESTS THAT UPPER
LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL DOMINATE OVER THAT LOCAL AREA BY THIS
EVENING..WHILE THE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE MOVES FURTHER SOUTH.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY LOOKS DRIER AND MORE PLEASANT THAN IT HAS
BEEN FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES COULD BE AS
LOW AS ONE INCH WITH AN EAST NORTHEAST WIND AND MOSTLY ISOLATED SHOWERS.


&&

.AVIATION...SHRA/TSRA ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH
AT LEAST 22/00Z. AS A RESULT...MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS AND TEMPO
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND TISX...TJSJ...TJPS...
TJBQ AND TJMZ THROUGHOUT THE EVENING HOURS. EAST NORTHEAST WINDS AT
15 TO 20 KTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LOCAL
FLYING AREA.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS OF 7 FT OR LESS AND WINDS OF 21 KTS OR LESS EXPECTED.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED MAINLY
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT SEAS
WILL GO BELOW 7 FEET AS WELL AS WINDS WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC WATERS BY SUNDAY EVENING.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 75 84 74 85 / 60 60 20 20
STT 74 86 75 85 / 40 40 20 20

[Gustywind]

A strong line of showers is abatting in my area. Weather is cleary grey sad and chilly. It's raining more than nicely, thunder is rumbling too. Guadeloupe is always on orange alert.

[msbee]

stay dry Gusty

[cycloneye]

Good morning. More drier weather than what occurred in the past couple of days will be with us in PR and adjacent islands until mid-week when another trough will arrive increasing the showers.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
528 AM AST SUN APR 21 2013

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AS
IT MERGES WITH A BROAD CUTOFF LOW ACROSS CENTRAL ATLANTIC. ANOTHER
TROUGH WILL REACH THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY.
SURFACE HIGH ACROSS THE NORTH ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE A
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS WITH ASSOCIATED TROUGH ACROSS THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THESE FEATURES HAVE BEEN RESULTING IN SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN PUERTO RICO DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HOWEVER...
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL LOW/ASSOCIATED TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AS IT MERGES WITH A BROAD CUTOFF LOW ACROSS
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THIS WILL RESULT IN UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AS WELL AS EROSION OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LOCALLY. THEREFORE FOR
THE NEXT TWO DAYS OR SO...EXPECT A GENERALLY FAIR AND MAINLY
STABLE WEATHER PATTERN WITH A FEW MORNING SHOWERS EMBEDDED IN THE
TRADES ACROSS THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND SHALLOW
AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS WEST AND SOUTHWEST PR. ANOTHER TROUGH
WILL REACH THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS AND A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER AREA
TAF SITES WITH ONSHORE WINDS 15G25KT EXCEPT AROUND 10KT AT JMZ.
BKN040 AT JMZ THIS AFTERNOON OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR AT ALL OTHER
TAF SITES.

&&

.MARINE...MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUED TO SUGGEST AN IMPROVEMENT IN
MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH SEAS SUBSIDING BELOW
7 FEET AND WINDS 21 KNOTS OR LESS. BUOY DATA SUPPORT
AFOREMENTIONED TREND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 75 85 74 / 20 20 20 30
STT 86 74 85 75 / 20 20 20 30