ATL: 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Models

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ericinmia
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Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1481 Postby ericinmia » Wed Aug 26, 2015 10:53 pm

That sure is a lot of ridging! @ 60 hrs

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#1482 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Aug 26, 2015 10:55 pm

:uarrow: Strong ridge north of Erika on GFS @60 hours.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1483 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 26, 2015 10:56 pm

Yep, no escape route yet...ideal environment for strengthening.
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Re:

#1484 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Wed Aug 26, 2015 10:57 pm

northjaxpro wrote::uarrow: Strong ridge north of Erika on GFS @60 hours.


Not a sure thing , but just like we were debating earlier about the possible shift back west.
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#1485 Postby LarryWx » Wed Aug 26, 2015 10:57 pm

Looking at the latest maps, my guess is that Erika will go further west than it did on the 18Z.For one thing, the ridge to the north is a little further south. Also, Erika is now slightly SW of its 18Z position.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1486 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 26, 2015 10:58 pm

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#1487 Postby bahamaswx » Wed Aug 26, 2015 10:58 pm

Wow the ridge really digs in at 60hrs and shoves her back west.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1488 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 26, 2015 10:59 pm

SW of last run and weaker.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1489 Postby ericinmia » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:01 pm

72 hrs, still strong ridging....
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78 hrs...
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Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1490 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:02 pm

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#1491 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:03 pm

:uarrow: The ridge holding firm 3 days out. That would push Erika into South Florida if that ridge holds like that. Also, 0Z GFS keeping the cyclone weaker compared to earlier today.
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#1492 Postby LarryWx » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:03 pm

The 0Z GFS track looks like it is going to be about 100 miles west of the 18Z track, i.e., on or very near the FL east coast.
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Re:

#1493 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:04 pm

LarryWx wrote:The 0Z GFS track looks like it is going to be about 100 miles west of the 18Z track,


at least
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Re: Re:

#1494 Postby chaser1 » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:05 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:
LarryWx wrote:The 0Z GFS track looks like it is going to be about 100 miles west of the 18Z track,


at least


Can someone help replace my wiper blades? :lol:
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Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1495 Postby ericinmia » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:05 pm

96 hrs..... Still strong Ridging....
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Re: Re:

#1496 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:06 pm

chaser1 wrote:
Hurricaneman wrote:
LarryWx wrote:The 0Z GFS track looks like it is going to be about 100 miles west of the 18Z track,


at least


Can someone help replace my wiper blades? :lol:


LoL
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Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1497 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:06 pm

ericinmia wrote:96 hrs..... Still strong Ridging....
Image


looks like it comes to the Florida coast this run

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#1498 Postby USTropics » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:07 pm

The ridge is a bit more pronounced on the western side this run at 96hrs (compared to the same time frame as the 18z):

00z (current run):

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18z (previous run):

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#1499 Postby NDG » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:07 pm

Yeap, just as I thought the 0z GFS back closer to its earlier 12z run so far.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1500 Postby blp » Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:08 pm

Again weaker means further west so that is being reflected in this run. I also notice the trough in the Gulf is a tad stronger at 500mb level.
Last edited by blp on Wed Aug 26, 2015 11:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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