ATL: HANNA - Remnants - Discussion

[aspen]

Looks like a bit of dry air is wrapping in, if it can cut it off we will probably see strengthening at a faster rate.

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Levi mentioned that there appears to be a bit of dry air stuck in or near the eye. Given how slow Hanna is, I think she’ll have enough time to mix it out.

[shiny-pebble]

Looks like a bit of dry air is wrapping in, if it can cut it off we will probably see strengthening at a faster rate.

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Levi mentioned that there appears to be a bit of dry air stuck in or near the eye. Given how slow Hanna is, I think she’ll have enough time to mix it out.

It does look like it's cutting it off about now....

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[toad strangler]

 http://twitter.com/jacksillin/status/1287027352363556864

[HurricaneAndre2008]

Current Intensity Analysis



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 25 JUL 2020 Time : 135024 UTC
Lat : 26:58:03 N Lon : 96:30:19 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.4 / 972.7mb/ 74.6kt

[Aric Dunn]

I over slept.. I made it till about 330 am then all of a sudden it was 10 am lol

looking good.. one giant eyewall lol

new recon plane is on the way I see. good good..

[msbee]

surf rolling in at South Padre Island
https://www.livebeaches.com/webcams/sou ... yline-cam/

[Highteeld]

Moving at a snail's pace now

[Highteeld]

Should have another 4 more hours to intensify

[Aric Dunn]

watch for the eye to start really contracting as land friction picks up.. it can still deepen quite quickly if this occurs.

[TheStormExpert]

:uarrow: The biggest problem is the shear including mid-level shear which has likely prevented Hanna from blowing up into a Cat.2 or Cat.3. But it’ll still be a Cat.1 likely still landfall and a decent one at that.

I mean you no disrespect..but shear is a good thing from where Im sittin...harvey went pretty much where this one is goin...about 300 miles or so south of me..and I lost everything....so don't take my comment the wrong way... I know you are writing your posts in a meteorological viewpoint...so far here in Brazoria, just some rain and such... I'm good with that

Yeah I’m just saying how shear likely saved you from something more significant. Sorry about your loss!

[Highteeld]

[Highteeld]

Increased to 80 mph, 978 mb

[ColdMiser123]

Should have another 4 more hours to intensify

Guidance has Hanna making landfall later at this point, 6z HMON didn't make landfall until after 0z. HWRF closer to 21z. If that is accurate then it should be closer to 6-10 more hours left over water. In a situation where pressure falls are significant, every hour will count.

[Highteeld]

Air Force on the way

[mpic]

surf rolling in at South Padre Island
https://www.livebeaches.com/webcams/sou ... yline-cam/

Does it always look so brown or only because of the storm?

[Highteeld]

Should have another 4 more hours to intensify

Guidance has Hanna making landfall later at this point, 6z HMON didn't make landfall until after 0z. HWRF closer to 21z. If that is accurate then it should be closer to 6-10 more hours left over water. In a situation where pressure falls are significant, every hour will count.

I'm not confident it will intensify the last few hours though, lots of land interaction could occur and halt progress

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Hanna reminds me a lot of Ike and Alex. Big storm, very low MSLP but with comparatively low winds. Surge also tends to be a lot worse in these types of systems vs a normal Cat 1/2.

[Highteeld]

[drezee]

Air Force on the way

They did a test flight and landed.

[hurricaneCW]

If she had another day then it would've been a major at landfall maybe a cat 4.

Folks in SE TX lucked out.