ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[zzzh]

36H 30/0600Z 27.6N 84.4W 105 KT 120 MPH

[Hurricane2022]

NHC forecasts 105 kt before landfall

[zzzh]

Now we have an AF plane and a noaa plane departing for Idalia

[stormhunter7]

Hurricane Warning extended westward and added tropical storm warnings Gulf County coast to Mexico Beach.

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

Track changes:


source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA_graphics.php?product=5day_cone_with_line

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/wxbrad/status/1696269655466238461

[psyclone]

Pretty good jump west on those track updates today. Lowered the wind probs some in west central fl

[Poonwalker]

So now its moving more west and that is good news for the peninsula. Means business as usual, probably a Michael (child). We got nothing from michael as it passed us to the west. These storms don't like the west coast thats for sure

This is coming much closer to the west coast.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/NHC_Surge/status/1696268729200623625

[ConvergenceZone]

It looks like they are pushing back landfall as well. Last night it looked like l very very early Wednesday Morning. Now it's looking more like mid to late morning on Wednesday for a landfall, which means more time for it to strengthen.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Definitely organizing now. The CDO has gone from taking a "squashed bug" appearance to a symmetrical one. There is still shear impacting the system, but we're finally seeing spiral banding pick up on the northern side.

[Javlin]

it looks like Idalia's east weighted convective pattern is exerting a gentle rightward tug

I am thinking the ULL that's been hugging the coast for the last few days.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... uct=wv_mid

[xironman]

Pretty classic look at the moment, just need to clear out the eye

[SunnyThoughts]

Yeah, I think the AF plane will find a hurricane when it gets there. I hope everybody is preparing, or already prepared and in the process of getting out of harm's way.

[jdjaguar]

normally I would say the storm was shrimping, but this one is prawning!

we should see an eye soon.

[underthwx]

Yeah, I think the AF plane will find a hurricane when it gets there. I hope everybody is preparing, or already prepared and in the process of getting out of harm's way.

Agree totally....time to hit the road....

[Poonwalker]

A wobble east could touch western tip of Cuba. Moving along now for sure.

[tolakram]

Still experiencing some shear IMO, and this was shown in the models so no surprises.

saved loop

[KimmieLa]

Still experiencing some shear IMO, and this was shown in the models so no surprises.

saved loop

Thanks for these loops, gives us a great view of what is happening.