ATL: ISAIAS - Models

[toad strangler]

Yup, Juuuust off the Treasure Coast @72

[kevin]

Euro at 72hrs

[skillz305]

EURO at 72 hours, seems to make landfall in Indian River County, FL right up on the shore.

[Cataegis96]

Yep much closer to GFS now in terms of intensity and track. Think we are starting to see the two models come together. Likely time to put up hurricane warnings in the northern Bahamas and tropical storm warnings for Florida. Euro weakens it some at hour 72, will be interesting to see where it goes from here. Should start moving due north after skirting the Space Coast.

[WeatherEmperor]

Is this TS or Cat1??




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[Blown Away]

12z EURO... 72 hours

[northjaxpro]

Yep much closer to GFS now in terms of intensity and track. Think we are starting to see the two models come together. Likely time to put up hurricane warnings in the northern Bahamas and tropical storm warnings for Florida. Euro weakens it some at hour 72, will be interesting to see where it goes from here. Should start moving due north after skirting the Space Coast.

Yes, those watches and warnings will be coming at 5 p.m.

[NDG]

HR Euro, not quite makes landfall in the Gold Coast, but this probably the strongest the Euro has Isaias to become prior to reaching FL.

[HurricaneFrances04]

No landfall on the Euro. Comes close to St Lucie/Indian River County but remains offshore. Starts heading north at 72 hrs.

[AutoPenalti]

Oof, just a few miles and metro PB/Broward/Dade are in the center.

[sma10]

Next frame on Euro looks like it could be coast scraper. Euro coming to meet the others?

One of these days, a coast scraper is going to err a teeny tiny bit to the left instead of right

[otowntiger]

Is this TS or Cat1??

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200730/a144a40267c6495cbab731299f96f01f.jpg


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Weak to moderate T.S.

[northjaxpro]

Close enough though in whichh we wilĺ see very significant impacts along the Florida East Coast and points north up.the U.S. East Coast.

Busy times ahead the next few days here.

[Kazmit]

Weird how similar this looks to Matthew especially in July.

[SFLcane]

Yep much closer to GFS now in terms of intensity and track. Think we are starting to see the two models come together. Likely time to put up hurricane warnings in the northern Bahamas and tropical storm warnings for Florida. Euro weakens it some at hour 72, will be interesting to see where it goes from here. Should start moving due north after skirting the Space Coast.

Yes, those watches and warmings will be coming at 5 p.m.

Warnings out of caution sure but the reality is even if the euro tracks pans out the worst of the hurricane remains out over the Bahamas. Mathew in FL was a gentle breeze rainy day.

[toad strangler]

HR Euro, not quite makes landfall in the Gold Coast, but this probably the strongest the Euro has Isaias to become prior to reaching FL.

https://i.imgur.com/Tn0QOt4.gif

Nearly landfalls on the Treasure Coast. Not quite though.

[otowntiger]

HR Euro, not quite makes landfall in the Gold Coast, but this probably the strongest the Euro has Isaias to become prior to reaching FL.

https://i.imgur.com/Tn0QOt4.gif

I fully expect more shifts by all models to be further East after the storm consolidates around a new center north and east of where they are initializing it now.

[SFLcane]

Oof, just a few miles and metro PB/Broward/Dade are in the center.

Can you get any closer wow! Ensembles should be fun.

[WeatherEmperor]

12z Navgem almost identical to Euro. Very very close to South Florida coast




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[HurricaneFrances04]

Euro is slower to kick it NE than the GFS, though the tracks look the same. GFS is near North Carolina in 96 hours while the Euro is hanging out around Daytona.