Derek Ortt wrote:thats the 21Z track interpolated onto the 0Z initial position
What does that mean? (for us laypeople who don't speak in "Z's")
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Derek Ortt wrote:thats the 21Z track interpolated onto the 0Z initial position
wxman57 wrote:Here's a plot of more models. I removed the BAM models as they're not good in the subtropics or when the environment is changing. Most dynamic models are included (no EC, of course). Pretty strong consensus in a sharp turn by Andros Island.
hurricanefloyd5 wrote:My local Weather guy said he "EXPECTS" TS Watches to be issued tonight for SEFlorida
destruction92 wrote:wxman57 wrote:Here's a plot of more models. I removed the BAM models as they're not good in the subtropics or when the environment is changing. Most dynamic models are included (no EC, of course). Pretty strong consensus in a sharp turn by Andros Island.
Thanks wxman57! Florida looks to be in the clear now!
Well there is no arguing with that .lol thats a pretty tight consensus ....wxman57 wrote:Here's a plot of mostly 00Z dynamic models. I removed the BAM models as they're not good in the subtropics or when the environment is changing. Most dynamic models are included (no EC, of course). Pretty strong consensus in a sharp turn by Andros Island. Of course, consensus doesn't always = right, but it does show that they all see the same steering currents.
Vortex wrote:Consensus is strong but trend the last 6-12 hours is further west. Looks like the Mega-High and how fast it moves east will be the deciding factor. Either way SE Florida is preparing for a "gradient" storm. NWS Miami is calling for sustained winds of at least 40mph with gusts in excess of 50.
Evil Jeremy wrote:
Destruction, you really have to stop following every thing in front of you as if it is fact. Florida is not out of the clear yet. If the storm still moves westward, it could still clip us. Anything can happen in the tropics.
NcentralFlaguy wrote:Well there is no arguing with that .lol thats a pretty tight consensus ....wxman57 wrote:Here's a plot of mostly 00Z dynamic models. I removed the BAM models as they're not good in the subtropics or when the environment is changing. Most dynamic models are included (no EC, of course). Pretty strong consensus in a sharp turn by Andros Island. Of course, consensus doesn't always = right, but it does show that they all see the same steering currents.
destruction92 wrote:wxman57 wrote:Here's a plot of more models. I removed the BAM models as they're not good in the subtropics or when the environment is changing. Most dynamic models are included (no EC, of course). Pretty strong consensus in a sharp turn by Andros Island.
Thanks wxman57! Florida looks to be in the clear now!
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests