ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

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Hurricane Andrew
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#161 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sat May 19, 2012 2:29 pm

The link does work, RL3AO.
May 19,2012, first renumber of the 2012 atlantic hurricane season.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#162 Postby SFLcane » Sat May 19, 2012 2:32 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:Looks like 93L is shooting out a ton of outflow boundaries to the S over the past couple of hours... I wonder if the convection will collapse soon.


Ive soon many tiny systems like this spin up rather quickly only to fall apart a few hrs later. The NHC will generally classify a disturbance as a TC when the system has maintained persistant deep convection close to its COC for a period of at least 12 hours, combined with a Westerly wind of 25 knots or greater, if a "closed" COC has been detected using aforementioned satellite tools, recon, or surface obs from land based stations, ships and/or buoys.

edit! :roll: Hello Alberto
Last edited by SFLcane on Sat May 19, 2012 2:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#163 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 19, 2012 2:32 pm

IMO, if they decided it is a tropical storm now, it was a TS at 1200Z as well.
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#164 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 19, 2012 2:33 pm

Welcome to the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season!!!!

Even if the calendar suggests otherwise...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#165 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 19, 2012 2:37 pm

Off Topic= The formation of TS Alberto will count for the S2K 2012 poll so those who are on the list or are thinking of posting numbers until May 31rst,be aware about that.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=112610&hilit=&start=0
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#166 Postby drezee » Sat May 19, 2012 2:38 pm

This thing looks like a TS. Seems like an EL Nino Year, early development from non-tropical means...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#167 Postby bg1 » Sat May 19, 2012 2:38 pm

First time the Atlantic and Pacific basins have both had a named storm in May since 2008.

Earliest time both basins have at least 1 tropical storm (not counting Central Pacific storms).
Counting them, 1992 would be the earliest when a storm formed in the Atlantic in late April.
Last edited by bg1 on Sat May 19, 2012 2:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#168 Postby stormhunter7 » Sat May 19, 2012 2:39 pm

kinda shocked at the special TWO at 11am was only 50% chance.
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#169 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 19, 2012 2:41 pm

When was the last time there was a HURRICANE before June 1?
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#170 Postby RL3AO » Sat May 19, 2012 2:46 pm

They'll probably wait until 2100z. No point releasing a full advisory at 20z then having to do it all again, an hour later.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#171 Postby ocala » Sat May 19, 2012 2:46 pm

stormhunter7 wrote:kinda shocked at the special TWO at 11am was only 50% chance.

I agree. :D
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#172 Postby brunota2003 » Sat May 19, 2012 2:47 pm

Not sure, Crazy...but this is from the 17Z run of the HRRR Rapid Refresh (considered experimental):

Image

This is showing forecast 10 meter winds in knots for 23 UTC this evening
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#173 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 19, 2012 2:47 pm

This is the first named pre-season storm since May 31st, 2008 with Tropical Storm Arthur.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#174 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 19, 2012 2:50 pm

Anyone who may be wondering why Cycloneye does not change the title of thread to TS Alberto? That is because we wait for the official word by NHC. I dont remember what year it was but I changed a title from invest x to TD x,finding out later that they didn't upgrade. :double:
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#175 Postby SouthDadeFish » Sat May 19, 2012 2:50 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:When was the last time there was a HURRICANE before June 1?


I took the time to manually go through the files and found the last time we had a hurricane before June 1 was in 1970 with Hurricane Alma:

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at19701.asp
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#176 Postby KatDaddy » Sat May 19, 2012 2:50 pm

Just a matter of time until the first official advisory.
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#177 Postby txwatcher91 » Sat May 19, 2012 2:52 pm

Any ideas how the low pressure to the north, off the coast of VA, may affect 93L? It would seem as it slowly drifts southward that there would be some type of influence, positive or negative, upon 93L?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#178 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat May 19, 2012 2:54 pm

Welcome to hurricane season folks!!! Is this the quickest we have gone from invest to named storm?
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#179 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat May 19, 2012 2:55 pm

well looking at TPW. seems some moisture is starting to spread back north out of the carribean and into the gulf. alo tof the dry air has receded or been pushed back the western gulf. also to note the motion of the system over the last 24 hours. ridging to the nw and be stuck in the a baroclinic zone has aided the system thus far.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#180 Postby bg1 » Sat May 19, 2012 2:55 pm

And it's gone from the map!! Just a matter of time...
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