NATL: JERRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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ElectricStorm
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Re: NATL: JERRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Every season seems like it has to have that one storm that vastly underperforms early expectations, and this year looks like it's Jerry. At one point was expected to be a hurricane around now but instead it's very likely an open wave with no future.
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Re: NATL: JERRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
aspen wrote:This has got to be one of the biggest bust storms in recent memory. Maybe the only other this decade that really compares is Peter ‘21.
It is up there with that disturbance that had a 90% chance of development earlier this year and ultimately didn't.
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Re: NATL: JERRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
al78 wrote:aspen wrote:This has got to be one of the biggest bust storms in recent memory. Maybe the only other this decade that really compares is Peter ‘21.
It is up there with that disturbance that had a 90% chance of development earlier this year and ultimately didn't.
Philippe 2023 was another big bust. It was expected to strengthen to a hurricane on several different occasions, but operationally it never went beyond 45 kt despite lasting almost 2 weeks. (Its intensity at some points were adjusted upwards in the TCR.)
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FrontRunner
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Re: NATL: JERRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
aspen wrote:This has got to be one of the biggest bust storms in recent memory. Maybe the only other this decade that really compares is Peter ‘21.
Peter '21? Wasn't it always projected to stay a weak tropical storm?
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