96L for Caribbean System
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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wxboy
wxboy wrote:no. it's moving NW. the main LLC will form underneath the deap convection, where the MLC currently is.
LLC's do not always form under the higher concentration of convection though its essential for development. Not saying it won't but at present this wave will be inland by this afternoon on its present course of WNW.
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skysummit
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Wpwxguy wrote:Of course recon is warranted for this system. Have these people been sleeping on the job. Look at the latest visible and/or infrared. Look at the circulation. Its well on its way to a depression if not already. Of course I guess there is an outside chance that I'm just an idiot. IMO
Then....we ARE talking about TWC.
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skysummit wrote:Wpwxguy wrote:Of course recon is warranted for this system. Have these people been sleeping on the job. Look at the latest visible and/or infrared. Look at the circulation. Its well on its way to a depression if not already. Of course I guess there is an outside chance that I'm just an idiot. IMO
Then....we ARE talking about TWC.
Indeed, but maybe they feel it will be inland soon thus the recon delay. They should and will be out as soon as makes its Yuc journey and re-enters the GOM.
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It's a good thing Steve Lyons doesn't make that call.
As I look at VIS and IR loops, it appears the we are getting
a broad low developing, propbably two centers of circulation - one closer
to Belize, the other to the ENE of that one.
The NHC is out to protect lives and property - that is their mission.
After 2004, that mission took on a new level of importance.
If Lyons is right, he can say "I said so", if he's wrong, then he can say
"whoops"
There is the distinct difference in the private sector and the NWS
As I look at VIS and IR loops, it appears the we are getting
a broad low developing, propbably two centers of circulation - one closer
to Belize, the other to the ENE of that one.
The NHC is out to protect lives and property - that is their mission.
After 2004, that mission took on a new level of importance.
If Lyons is right, he can say "I said so", if he's wrong, then he can say
"whoops"
There is the distinct difference in the private sector and the NWS
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HouTXmetro
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wx247
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Impressive satellite pic. Things look much more organized than they did 12-24 hours ago. It will be interesting to see what recon finds this afternoon.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
drezee wrote:Steve Lyons just stated that Recon was not warranted for the NW Caribbean system.
Steve Lyons lost most of his credibility with me last season when he stated while Jeanne was off the coast of the Dominican that it would be only a threat to Bermuda!
He was the only one saying this!!
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