Texas Winter 2020-2021

[Brent]

If it doesn’t snow I’m just gonna move to Oklahoma.

I'll be honest I'm already planning on this being my last winter here anyway and I've been looking at moving up there by summer

[rwfromkansas]

What’s the latest SHREF etc.

[Cerlin]

21z SREF was way south too. I think every model halved totals or took them away entirely for DFW except the 3km NAM. But the NAM hasn’t been terribly reliable as of late. I should be surprised all the models screwed over Dallas for the 6th year in a row but truthfully I’m not. I’m just used to continually getting the short end of the stick when our climate is supposed to net us 2 inches of snow a year. Oh well. Onto the next storm or pray for a temperature bust.

[bubba hotep]

03z HRRR is just humiliating... Cold rain for areas of DFW east of I-35 while points to our south get dumped on by heavy snow.

[txtwister78]

0z GEM also moves further south from 12z run.

[Brent]

03z HRRR is just humiliating... Cold rain for areas of DFW east of I-35 while points to our south get dumped on by heavy snow.

https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/proxy/L0OAtTJBhhwCfOlMdZM9dho3V0B252rLqSwN6b4Ig1oZrofE2ImJsr6Jgwr31LtLVTOj-ktuH0zz82gPgaDcxwnNfgIUG6SiLtjK4280ZFYTM9wPDZvULnFXgcQ=s0-d

and after the WWA is issued

I absolutely despise our winters and I grew up in Alabama! lol

[rwfromkansas]

My calculation in leaving West Texas to come to Fort Worth instead of Waco or Austin because “snow will be more likely” has proven fatally wrong. I may need to look at moving to KC. Lol.

[Cerlin]

I think I’m just gonna log off tonight. I’ve seen enough busts the past 4 years on this forum to know where this is headed...I’ll check back in in the morning but I’d be surprised if it’s anything better than a cold rain at this point.

[Brent]

My calculation in leaving West Texas to come to Fort Worth instead of Waco or Austin because “snow will be more likely” has proven fatally wrong. I may need to look at moving to KC. Lol.

you know its funny... the first few years the lack of snow didn't bother me. I mean I grew up in Alabama I saw plenty of winters without it... it was ever since it started snowing south of us I was done... and here we go again...

see south of me in Alabama was basically Florida

[drred4]

Don't give up you never know what mother nature or the good lord will change. In Dec 2017 here in NE Brazos county we got over 4" out of nowwhere. I will not believe we will have snow here until my wether rock has snow on it!

[JGrin87]

I am completely not understanding the "U" shape that takes form over Dallas. What is causing that, I know it's not "heat island", is there some kind of atmpospheric something in the NE part of the state?

That is the low track it swings south around Abilene to Waco then back up towards Shreveport basically which if you notice is where the heaviest snow generally is modeled

Right, but what's causing that swing down and back up, basically screwing us?

If that was true, wouldn’t you see a corresponding dip on the southern side? There isn’t one.

[txtwister78]

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=AFDEWX&e=202101100444

EWX (AUS/SAT) seeing the trends tonight and increasing snowfall potential further south. Definitely looking like a deeper and colder (further south) system than models anticipated

[txtwister78]

0z UKMET

[DFW Stormwatcher]

If it doesn’t snow I’m just gonna move to Oklahoma.

I'll be honest I'm already planning on this being my last winter here anyway and I've been looking at moving up there by summer

Wow, I love snow but not nearly enough to move to ok. Good luck with that.

[Brent]

If it doesn’t snow I’m just gonna move to Oklahoma.

I'll be honest I'm already planning on this being my last winter here anyway and I've been looking at moving up there by summer

Wow, I love snow but not nearly enough to move to ok. Good luck with that.

lol oh I have other reasons but on nights like these... the snow looks like the reason

If I really wanted to move for snow I'd go way more north tbh

[Cpv17]

I'll be honest I'm already planning on this being my last winter here anyway and I've been looking at moving up there by summer

Wow, I love snow but not nearly enough to move to ok. Good luck with that.

lol oh I have other reasons but on nights like these... the snow looks like the reason

If I really wanted to move for snow I'd go way more north tbh

DFW>anywhere in Oklahoma

[txtwister78]

GEM ENS much further south than the 12z run

[weatherdude1108]

It's been years since I have seen this kind of forecast. Can't remember last time. Ingredients are rarely together here. This is exciting!!


Sunday
Snow, possibly mixed with rain. Temperature falling to around 31 by 5pm. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Sunday Night
A slight chance of rain and snow before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. North northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

[Cerlin]

Okay I know I said I was logging off (I am now trust me) but do we really need to post every model run at this point?

I hope you guys all have a good night and godspeed.

[Cpv17]

Okay I know I said I was logging off (I am now trust me) but do we really need to post every model run at this point?

I hope you guys all have a good night and godspeed.

The pattern is ripe for you DFW folk to cash in on one of these systems. The GFS is already hinting at another chance for y’all next weekend.