ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[3090]

I have a bad feeling about this now

Ditto!

Why? The LLC and the MLC are not aligned, YET!

[Dean4Storms]

This is like a rubberband being wound up for days and suddenly let go and with this deep convection there could be periods of RI in my opinion.

[bella_may]

According to Levi, might not change the track much. https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/sta ... 63265?s=21

[cfisher]

Hot vortical now rotating N around the center.

[northjaxpro]

Sally will become a huricane very shortly. I don' t anticipate RI, but like DestinHurricane pointed out steady strengthening. I foresee definitely a Cat 2 potential at landfall, but there may be a slim chance it could attain Cat 3. I pray it does not!!

[Sailingtime]

Explosive Intensification imminent

This is so not true it hurts

If Sally were going to really get explosive intensification, we would have seen signs of it by now. It will in all likelihood gain some strength before landfall but my question is why do we root for these storms to go from tropical strength to cat 3? I would rather it just be a minimum cat 1 or below and do as little damage as possible.

[FLpanhandle91]

I have a bad feeling about this now

Ditto!

Why? The LLC and the MLC are not aligned, YET!

That process is happening as we speak and should be completed soon.

[cheezyWXguy]

I have a bad feeling about this now

Ditto!

Why? The LLC and the MLC are not aligned, YET!

With the center relocation, it looks like they are now

[Stormcenter]

Somehow I get the feeling some think this is still
going to the Fl. panhandle. Personally I don’t think that
is happening. The LA/MS border still looks like
a good bet right now. IMO

[tiger_deF]

Explosive Intensification imminent

This is so not true it hurts

If Sally were going to really get explosive intensification, we would have seen signs of it by now. It will in all likelihood gain some strength before landfall but my question is why do we root for these storms to go from tropical strength to cat 3? I would rather it just be a minimum cat 1 or below and do as little damage as possible.

The truth is it doesn't matter if we wish for it to be stronger or weaker, the die is cast and the results will be the same regardless of what we want

[ronyan]

I think 100-110mph is what we will see out of Sally but there's a chance it could be a bit stronger, I'm not quick to rule that out given recent occurrences we've seen in the gulf.

[Aric Dunn]

Seeing some upper 70s mph high up on radar in that newly formed band.

[cfisher]

Center temperature just rose 2 degrees between passes

[DestinHurricane]

Somehow I get the feeling some think this is still
going to the Fl. panhandle. Personally I don’t think that
is happening. The LA/MS border still looks like
a good bet right now. IMO

I'm thinking Alabama landfall now. The center reformed pretty far east.

[Collenyd]

Sally, that girl, is getting going, amazing deep convection. We will probably see the LLC and MLC start getting stacked little by little during the day today.

https://i.imgur.com/cZFQUdn.gif

I thought I was the only one with this song rattling around in my head.

[kevin]

I think time will be Sally's limiting factor. Had this been on a path towards f.e. Texas or Northern Mexico that would have given it more time I can imagine we would be looking at a cat 4 before landfall. Luckily that's not the case, but that doesn't make the current situation better. Of course it's still 'only' a tropical storm atm, but I think cat 2 has gone from an HWRF/HMON only thing to quite a real possibility and cat 3 is also still on the table. Will be interesting to see the 12z models, but I'm not sure if they'll have the center relocation.

[Ivanhater]

Somehow I get the feeling some think this is still
going to the Fl. panhandle. Personally I don’t think that
is happening. The LA/MS border still looks like
a good bet right now. IMO

I don't see anyone here saying that but NW Florida will see significant impacts and only go higher the further east she goes.

[GCANE]

Eyewall building underway

[Stormcenter]

The 10am advisory will have all of the updated information.

[Blow_Hard]

Somehow I get the feeling some think this is still
going to the Fl. panhandle. Personally I don’t think that
is happening. The LA/MS border still looks like
a good bet right now. IMO

I don't think it'll be a Panhandle hit either but I think somewhere on the MS coast is most likely and if I were absolutely forced to make a guess I'd say landfall Biloxi, MS as a 110mph cat2.