TS Irene=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[gkrangers]

The ridicule the UKMET took at 5PM discussion was a little premature, I think everyone including the NHC needs to apologize to the UKMET. It was just the leader.

11PM discussion ought to be extremely interesting..

[Ivanhater]

amazing....i just dont see it turning that fast

[Sanibel]

ITS NOT moving poleward...that gets blown waaaay out of porportion...It simply redeveloped further north

That is poleward Delta.


It would be more important to recognize the reason - which is contact with the troughy remnants in front of it. Florida still hasn't blown clear of the troughy ULL activity near it. That to me suggests the recurve track more likely, like I was saying this afternoon.

In short, there's no ridge there...

[deltadog03]

ok...correction..its moving poleward but, not for the reason everyone thinks...the low level flow has changed and is not E-W...its SE-NW...but, if it does get deep the ridge will influence a E-W

[Sanibel]

The sky here is unusually clear. You could see excellent thunderhead towers in clear air. This is the exact opposite of last August's humidity. There's a High over us.

[dwg71]

ITS NOT moving poleward...that gets blown waaaay out of porportion...It simply redeveloped further north

That is poleward Delta.


It would be more important to recognize the reason - which is contact with the troughy remnants in front of it. Florida still hasn't blown clear of the troughy ULL activity near it. That to me suggests the recurve track more likely, like I was saying this afternoon.

In short, there's no ridge there...

The mass of the storm is moving around 300*. I'm sticking with my fish call.

[Scorpion]

Going to Carolinas or possibly the NE. All the Floridian -removed- needs to stop. And dwg, there is a ridge out there. Storms don't simply bust through highs.

[fci]

Seems to me she better start gaining more latitude in the next 24 hours or those models will end up moving even farther south..but thats just my thoughts.

It looks like she is gaining more latitude; 22.4 N, 57.7 W at 11:00 AM and now the latest showing 23.0 N, 58.6W.
Gaining .6 N to .9W is a good sign for Florida!

I know that this system is still pretty disorganized so a true center location is a bit of a guess but it sure beats the solid west track it was going.

[sma10]

The ridicule the UKMET took at 5PM discussion was a little premature, I think everyone including the NHC needs to apologize to the UKMET. It was just the leader.

Why does anyone have to apologize to the UKMET?

[WeatherEmperor]

Going to Carolinas or possibly the NE. All the Floridian -removed- needs to stop.

agreed

<RICKY>

[dwg71]

The ridicule the UKMET took at 5PM discussion was a little premature, I think everyone including the NHC needs to apologize to the UKMET. It was just the leader.

Why does anyone have to apologize to the UKMET?

read 5PM discussion. and posts relating to comments about this little ole' storm trying to bust through that big mean ridge...

[Ivanhater]

ITS NOT moving poleward...that gets blown waaaay out of porportion...It simply redeveloped further north

That is poleward Delta.


It would be more important to recognize the reason - which is contact with the troughy remnants in front of it. Florida still hasn't blown clear of the troughy ULL activity near it. That to me suggests the recurve track more likely, like I was saying this afternoon.

In short, there's no ridge there...

The mass of the storm is moving around 300*. I'm sticking with my fish call.

umm, thats the problem, you dont track the clouds....track the center, the circulation....its not 300.....but you go ahead and stick with your fish....hope you like a whole bunch of crow

[Derek Ortt]

I stand by my statement that this is still likely a tropical wave

if people would actually take the time to read the earlier pages of this thread and realise that NHC is calling this a TD because they believe it will soon redevelop; thus CONTINUITY

[dwg71]

I havent had any yet this summer, I'll be ready. Hope your the same

[Scorpion]

I agree. This storm likely won't amount to much. I remember yesterday that many said today would be the day of reconing of this storm, and that it would organize rapidly. It can't organize if its a wave.

[sma10]

The ridicule the UKMET took at 5PM discussion was a little premature, I think everyone including the NHC needs to apologize to the UKMET. It was just the leader.

Why does anyone have to apologize to the UKMET?

read 5PM discussion. and posts relating to comments about this little ole' storm trying to bust through that big mean ridge...

I still don't understand why people owe an apology to a computer model.

[dwg71]

its a joke...

[Ivanhater]

some of you people have changed positions more times than rupaul changes her wardrobe....seriously calm down people...no need to change everytime a model run comes out

[deltadog03]

derek, I tend to agree...i think the models are tracking the MLC...I think there is a LLC but, i just don't see this moving 290 or whatever...thats a huge swing..the only reason why they do this is cuz, they don't see the strength of the ridge...

[sma10]

its a joke...

Ahh, I see. I didn't see any smiley so I thought you were actually serious about having to apologize to an inanimate object.