Caribbean - Central America Weather

[msbee]

Gusty, you cannot imagine how saturated the ground is. It is amazing..
right now the rain has lightened up a little but I am not going anywhere today for sure.
I can see that more rain will fall unfortunately.

[msbee]

an example of current flooding on our roads



agricultural farm flooded out

[Gustywind]

For my friends in the Northern Leewards here is the latest weather forecast for the Northern Leewards translated to english version.

http://www.meteofrance.gp/integration/s ... s_nord.pdf (french version).


Monitoring VIGILANCE No. 2 bulletin

for the Northern Islands: Saint-Martin and Saint-Barthélemy

Saturday, November 08, 2014 at 04 h 43 AM, 08:43 UTC

Episode No. 12 - IN

Level of vigilance: ORANGE

Danger: Heavy rains and thunderstorms

Start of event: current.

End of event estimated: this Saturday, November 8, 2014 at 12A M.

Current situation:

Strong thunderstorm cells continue to cross the North of the Antillean Arc.

Forecasts:

Sustained precipitation and locally strong thunderstorms are likely to occur this morning, that could generate new significant overlapping, of the order of 50 mm in three hours, on soils already waterlogged.

If the coming hours Saint-Martin should know a little less heavy rains, they should be maintained with more intensity on Saint Barthélemy.

Gusts of wind Southeast 50 to 70, or 80 km/h accompanied by numerous strong showers and thunderstorms.

The improvement of the conditions is expected late morning.

Observed data:

Rainfaill at Juliana Airport:

-107 mm in three hours.

-127 mm in six hours.

Next newsletter: Saturday, November 8, 2014 lunch date.

Individual behaviour measures recommended by prefecture

VIGILANCE ORANGE HEAVY RAINS

Ask before to undertake a trip and be very careful

Avoid the mountain walks and hikes in relief

If you live in the flood zone, highlight security your likely to be damaged goods and

Watch the rising waters

If your home can be threatened by a landslide, it quit or get ready to

evacuate quickly

Storm: avoid the use of phones and electrical appliances. Do not shelter

an area forested, near towers or poles, or under an isolated tree.

Weather France to the Antilles Guyane Web Site: http://www.meteofrance.gp

[Gustywind]

Gusty, you cannot imagine how saturated the ground is. It is amazing..
right now the rain has lightened up a little but I am not going anywhere today for sure.
I can see that more rain will fall unfortunately.

Oh boy that's very worrying! Waouw i was just looking at the pics, that's a nigthmare! I was very far to imagine that Barbara! For sure stays at home is the best thing to do and let's wait and see what will happens during the next couple of hours!

[cycloneye]

Well,is now the Northern Leewards turn today to have the bad weather as PR clears out but we expect afternoon showers and with the grounds oversaturated,flooding can be expected but the overall trend is for things to be better after Saturday and a dry next few days will be the rule in the NE Caribbean.In general between 4-6 inches fell in PR with a few small pockets of between 6-9 inches.

[natmicstef]

Thank you gustywind and msbee. I read the Daily Herald this morning and there was nothing about the heavy rains (except the usual weather forecast on the inside page...didn't realise the online version might have more info...still when I checked the government info page it was the same warning that was posted yesterday and Laser 101 was on a recording..and meteosxm just had the proforma bulletin saying heavy rainfall through Sunday...no real info..hence my relief on finding info here.

[msbee]

Thanks Gusty for the translation. very helpful. and this just in

For Immediate Release: Saturday, November 08, 2014/N197

Curfew as of 12.00PM; Businesses must close as soon as possible

GREAT BAY, Sint Maarten (DCOMM) – The Fire and Department of Disaster Management (ODM) hereby announces that by order of the Prime Minister of Sint Maarten, a curfew will be in effect as of 12.00PM on Saturday, November 08 until further notice.

All businesses must close as soon as possible.

Due to the extent of the torrential rainfall throughout the country; all motorists must be off the roadway by 12.00PM as a curfew will go into effect for Dutch Sint Maarten.

The curfew has been initiated to allow emergency services and clean-up crew’s free access to carry out their work that is necessary to address the current situation.

The community’s full cooperation is required here.

Police will be out to enforce the curfew.

[abajan]

Wow! From the photos and comments, looks like you folk have had quite a lot of rain. Thankfully, everyone's okay. Looks like Barbados is now getting affected by this system. During the past half-hour or so, we've had some wind gusts which I'm sure were in the tropical storm force range, accompanied with a bit of rain. It's quiet and overcast now but I can see from satellite imagery that heavy convection is on its way from the northwest.

Will keep you posted.

[Gustywind]

Well,is now the Northern Leewards turn today to have the bad weather as PR clears out but we expect afternoon showers and with the grounds oversaturated,flooding can be expected but the overall trend is for things to be better after Saturday and a dry next few days will be the rule in the NE Caribbean.In general between 4-6 inches fell in PR with a few small pockets of between 6-9 inches.

Looks like good news for PR:) Cycloneye. Let's hope that things really calm down in PR and for all the Leewards even if today should be wet again and humid.

[Gustywind]

Thanks Gusty for the translation. very helpful. and this just in

For Immediate Release: Saturday, November 08, 2014/N197

Curfew as of 12.00PM; Businesses must close as soon as possible

GREAT BAY, Sint Maarten (DCOMM) – The Fire and Department of Disaster Management (ODM) hereby announces that by order of the Prime Minister of Sint Maarten, a curfew will be in effect as of 12.00PM on Saturday, November 08 until further notice.

All businesses must close as soon as possible.

Due to the extent of the torrential rainfall throughout the country; all motorists must be off the roadway by 12.00PM as a curfew will go into effect for Dutch Sint Maarten.

The curfew has been initiated to allow emergency services and clean-up crew’s free access to carry out their work that is necessary to address the current situation.

The community’s full cooperation is required here.

Police will be out to enforce the curfew.

Hey Barbara, you don't have friends for nothing Glad to see that the translation help you and all the others neighbors Thanks for posting that too. Be on your guard! Meanwhile, strong showers and thunderstorms are falling just on the eastern part of Guadeloupe. Other breaking infos, Martinica is on orange alert now. That's means that in Guadeloupe we should be on our guard as an orange could be on tape if things deteriorates, but we will see...

[msbee]

Be careful Gusty! This system is nothing to ignore.

[Gustywind]

Chart of the orange alerts, only Guadeloupe is not on orange alert. That will be something to see these 3 islands in orange, hope that Guadeloupe will not be on orange

http://www.meteofrance.gp/vigilance-antilles-guyane

[Gustywind]

Be careful Gusty! This system is nothing to ignore.

100 % right, agree with you Barbara oh boy, what a late season! I advice everybody to be on their guard...

[natmicstef]

Laser101 back in storm mode thankfully; just heard that a curfew will be in place from noon.

[msbee]

Laser101 back in storm mode thankfully; just heard that a curfew will be in place from noon.

I posted that a little earlier

[msbee]

[Gustywind]

Wow! From the photos and comments, looks like you folk have had quite a lot of rain. Thankfully, everyone's okay. Looks like Barbados is now getting affected by this system. During the past half-hour or so, we've had some wind gusts which I'm sure were in the tropical storm force range, accompanied with a bit of rain. It's quiet and overcast now but I can see from satellite imagery that heavy convection is on its way from the northwest.

Will keep you posted.

Thanks for posting that Abajan In my humble opinion you have to watch closely the situation in case of. Looks like to my untrained eyes that now the Windwards Islands could have some nice rains and tstorms as Martinica is facing with juicy rainfall. For info, given Meteo-France Martinica rainfall reached in some areas between 100 and 140 millimeters during the latest 12 hours, with a peak of 145 millimeters at Sainte Marie

[Gustywind]

Very impressive Barbara!!! Roads are becoming rivers, that's simply awesome!

[Gustywind]

Showers back in the action! Very strong showers are abatting on my area. Thunder is rumbling too.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1102 AM AST SAT NOV 8 2014

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL LOW PRES OVER HISPANIOLA WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE AREA TONIGHT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
BUILD OVER THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT (700-400 MB) IS EVIDENT ON GOES-
SOUNDER DATA OVER PR THIS MORNING. THIS WILL GREATLY LIMIT AREAL
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS TODAY. HOWEVER...GLOBAL MODELS
SHOW A LOW-LEVEL JET FOCUSING OVER SOUTHEAST PR AND THE USVI
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH A CORRESPONDENT SURGE IN MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY. THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN A NEW ROUND OF SHOWERS
AND T-STORMS OVR SOUTHEAST AND EASTERN PR AND THE USVI TONIGHT AND
MUCH OF SUNDAY. WHILE A REPEAT OF FRIDAY IS NOT ANTICIPATED...ANY
RAINS COULD CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS GIVEN CURRENT HYDROLOGICAL
CONDITIONS. SHOWERS COULD LINGER INTO SUNDAY EVENING. MUCH DRYER
CONDITIONS FOR MON AND TUESDAY UNDER STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA
TUE AND WED BUT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE IN SHORT SUPPLY
THIS TIME.