ATL: DORIAN - Models

[Steve]

Crossing FL just below lake Okeechobee. Look out Boca, Delray Beach, West Palm, Boynton, etc.

[jfk08c]

This will definitely bounce back and fourth between Central and South Florida a few more times before this is all said and done

[AutoPenalti]

Hi guys,

Friendly reminder to have in mind when models are running to keep side-talk at a minimum, or at the very least take it to the discussion thread.

Thanks

[Javlin]

Looks like it went due west from 96 to 120. Would love to see a high res plot to see its motion.

Looks to be about .5' N over 24hrs.

[SoupBone]

This will definitely bounce back and fourth between Central and South Florida a few more times before this is all said and done

Which has HUGE ramifications for people on the Gulf Coast/GoM.

[ronjon]

Well I think it's a safe bet NHC will be adjusting their track south in days 4-5 at the 5 pm advisory.

[TheStormExpert]

Slamming the Abaco Islands once again in 96hrs.

slamming palm beach gardens

Yeah not good!

[Highteeld]

Latest Euro is stronger than the 00z run

[stormhunter7]

Well I think it's a safe bet NHC will be adjusting their track south in days 4-5 at the 5 pm advisory.

Or that Cone will get a little wider.

[sma10]

For those with all the goods on Euro be able to tell us what happens between 96 and 120? Where is the landfall point, what strength?

[SFLcane]

Oh jeez!

[Cpv17]

This will definitely bounce back and fourth between Central and South Florida a few more times before this is all said and done

Which has HUGE ramifications for people on the Gulf Coast/GoM.

I actually think it’ll bounce back and forth between south Florida and the Florida Straits.

[chris_fit]

Continuing west way into the Gulf

[Aric Dunn]

Landfall eastcoast at 961mb. That ridge has been able to build in stronger from dorian being so much farther east.

[Steve]

At a buck 44, Euro has it offshore west of Sarasota/Venice and at 971. It's moving WNW, though there's a low north of great lakes that could tug it upat some point. It's looking like the next plot will be west of Apalachicola, so maybe Panama City to Morgan City on Landfall 2. We'll see if it's intensifying it for another Cat 2/3/? landfall in a few minutes when 168 and 192 come out.

[chris_fit]

Is it gonna go N or stall there?

[northjaxpro]

This will definitely bounce back and fourth between Central and South Florida a few more times before this is all said and done

THIS

[Aric Dunn]

Down to 959. Heading wnw still.

[toad strangler]

Well I think it's a safe bet NHC will be adjusting their track south in days 4-5 at the 5 pm advisory.

Or that Cone will get a little wider.

The Cone will NOT get wider.

[AdamFirst]

While the hubbabaloo was going on with the EURO, the 12z NAVGEM shows a Palm Beach County impact with a WNW trajectory directly over Lake Okeechobee