Texas Winter 2023-2024

[HockeyTx82]

I understand how some feel about TV mets but they are in a pretty tough spot. With this being a week out the details of this artic front are still uncertain and they don't want to get skewered by the public if they are too bullish.

I think the issue is that people will pipe off on social media and TV mets take a beating when they get it "wrong."

There is no need for TV mets or other professionals to make sly comments about people in a weather board having fun.

They could say rely on weather from professional sources and take social media posts cautionary. No need to flat call us out.

[bubba hotep]

Meanwhile, in Boise City, Ok

Civil Emergency Message
OKC025-090600-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
CIMARRON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
502 PM CST MON JAN 8 2024

...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ACROSS CIMARRON COUNTY...

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
CIMARRON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

THE CIMARRON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS REQUESTING FOR ALL
CITIZENS IN THE COUNTY TO SHELTER IN PLACE DUE TO DANGEROUS
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. ALL MAJOR ROADWAYS IN AND OUT OF CIMARRON
COUNTY REMAIN CLOSED. STRANDED MOTORISTS ARE BEING REPORTED ALL
OVER THE COUNTY. IF STRANDED, EMERGENCY VEHICLES MAY NOT BE ABLE
TO REACH YOU DUE TO IMPASSABLE ROADWAYS.

$$

[Ntxw]

Meanwhile, in Boise City, Ok

Civil Emergency Message
OKC025-090600-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
CIMARRON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
502 PM CST MON JAN 8 2024

...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ACROSS CIMARRON COUNTY...

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
CIMARRON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

THE CIMARRON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS REQUESTING FOR ALL
CITIZENS IN THE COUNTY TO SHELTER IN PLACE DUE TO DANGEROUS
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. ALL MAJOR ROADWAYS IN AND OUT OF CIMARRON
COUNTY REMAIN CLOSED. STRANDED MOTORISTS ARE BEING REPORTED ALL
OVER THE COUNTY. IF STRANDED, EMERGENCY VEHICLES MAY NOT BE ABLE
TO REACH YOU DUE TO IMPASSABLE ROADWAYS.

$$

0.15 mile visibility and 47mph gusts at Elkhart airport. That's a blizzard. Liberal Kansas 56mph and snowing.

[Stratton23]

18z GEFS is coming in even colder fwiw

[Ntxw]

18z GEFS is coming in even colder fwiw

Raw output is definitely trending colder. I noted some posts ago that the cold is now settling into Canada, the trend will be telling soon as that piece is on the table.

[Brent]

Looking like we have a legit shot at a burst of snow in the morning after it trended away from us the last couple days

That will be our third setup in the last 2 weeks not bad

[txtwister78]

These wind gust late tonight mean business behind the front.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Make no mistake, this is a severe arctic outbreak. 2021 spoiled us making years like 2011 and 2013/2014 seem "run of the mill" but they aren't. The numbers are showing at least that.

https://i.imgur.com/1P8DhJG.png

https://i.imgur.com/NWBvky6.png

https://i.imgur.com/VlQaqHu.png

https://i.imgur.com/3L1HM3B.png

So then why are professionals balking at it? They don't want to eat crow?

It seems there are amateurs like us who are all in, some pros, are too, then there are TV mets.... meh

My local Mets are basically doing this. They have a high in the upper 30s/lower 40s for this cold. It’s like, dude cmon..

[Yukon Cornelius]

Kind of disappointed in the 18z GFS. I thought there were some encouraging signs in the 12z GEFS for winter wx potential and was expecting the 18z GFS to jog that way.

Not looking likely on the precipitation front but boy is it going to be cold. Snow definitely makes the cold worth it though!

After our summer I’ll take any type of cold whether it’s dry cold or snow and ice and be happy.

[gpsnowman]

When does the next Icon or Canadian model come out?

[Harp.1]

When does the next Icon or Canadian model come out?

They all run at 9:30pm central time. The GFS as well.

[gpsnowman]

When does the next Icon or Canadian model come out?

They all run at 9:30pm central time. The GFS as well.

Thanks. I am familiar with the GFS and Euro but wasn't with the other two.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Kind of disappointed in the 18z GFS. I thought there were some encouraging signs in the 12z GEFS for winter wx potential and was expecting the 18z GFS to jog that way.

Not looking likely on the precipitation front but boy is it going to be cold. Snow definitely makes the cold worth it though!

After our summer I’ll take any type of cold whether it’s dry cold or snow and ice and be happy.

Correct answer.

[Brent]

Kind of disappointed in the 18z GFS. I thought there were some encouraging signs in the 12z GEFS for winter wx potential and was expecting the 18z GFS to jog that way.

Not looking likely on the precipitation front but boy is it going to be cold. Snow definitely makes the cold worth it though!

After our summer I’ll take any type of cold whether it’s dry cold or snow and ice and be happy.

Yeah there's people on social media here wanting to go back to summer... I will pass did we forget how bad it was already? I thought it was never going to get cold at times tbh

And I haven't seen a single bug lately either

[Ghost0321]

It’s so funny looking at weather apps going crazy with this cold air

One has my location at 50 on Sunday for a high then dropping to 12 then rebounding to 48 again then back to 11 for a low

[HockeyTx82]

This wind is atrocious.

Ripped the metal roof off the building behind me.

I recorded a 41mph gust 8ft off the ground on my station....

My house is shaking. Glad I got a new roof with an upgrade about a year ago.

Edit: Just hit 43mph at 9:07PM

[Ralph's Weather]

SHV even has given in to things switching to snow across their area Monday. They are normally very conservative with winter weather so that says something.

[Cpv17]

That's cross polar flow longer range. Alaskan/Bering rex block.

Cross polar flow.. one of my fav things to hear!

[Yukon Cornelius]

This wind is atrocious.

Ripped the metal roof off the building behind me.

I recorded a 41mph gust 8ft off the ground on my station....

My house is shaking. Glad I got a new roof with an upgrade about a year ago.

Edit: Just hit 43mph at 9:07PM

No joke! We’re at 35 sustained and 53 gusts. I hope my outbuilding roofs stay put.

[Fifty Rock]

This wind is atrocious.

Ripped the metal roof off the building behind me.

I recorded a 41mph gust 8ft off the ground on my station....

My house is shaking. Glad I got a new roof with an upgrade about a year ago.

Edit: Just hit 43mph at 9:07PM

We have 40 mph sustained winds and gusts up to 59 quite often out here. It’s pretty insane.