ATL: IGOR - Ex Hurricane - Discussion

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AussieMark
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Re: Re:

#1781 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 17, 2010 5:21 am

canes101 wrote:
bob rulz wrote:It looks like Mother Nature has literally taken a hammer to Igor on the IR...


Yes she is looking a little sickly this morning....

http://img62.imageshack.us/img62/5115/81122682.jpg

Unless he is trying to tell us something?? Does the number 6 mean anything to anyone? lol
.


:lol:
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Re: Re:

#1782 Postby canes101 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 5:24 am

canes101 wrote:
bob rulz wrote:It looks like Mother Nature has literally taken a hammer to Igor on the IR...


Yes she is looking a little sickly this morning....

Image

Unless he is trying to tell us something?? Does the number 6 mean anything to anyone? lol
.

:lol:
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#1783 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 17, 2010 6:46 am

Wow Igor really doesn't look too great right now, maybe the models were right to really weaken the system once it got a little further north, I remember the GFDL/HWRF both weakened this to about 75-85kts so it'd be a turnup for the books if that happened.

Also is it just me or has it taken longer to lift off to the north then expected by the models?
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#1784 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 6:56 am

Maybe 6 majors? :lol: That would have to either be a record or close to it if that were the case.
Last edited by brunota2003 on Fri Sep 17, 2010 6:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#1785 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 17, 2010 6:57 am

Image

Another EWRC?
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#1786 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 17, 2010 6:58 am

Possibly it may try one but the presentatin right now isn't all that good, the system is only going to get bigger if it tries to develop another outer eyewall again...
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#1787 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 6:58 am

Oh, and just to let everyone know, Buoy 41044 is still working! Winds are now down to 44.7 knots as of 7 am EDT.
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#1788 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:00 am

Wow the Bouy almost got a direct hit and yet survived, fair play to it, how long did the strong winds last for it?
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Re:

#1789 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:02 am

brunota2003 wrote:Maybe 6 majors? :lol: That would have to either be a record or close to it if that were the case.


1950 has the record of 8
1961 and 2005 is second with 7
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Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion

#1790 Postby hurricaneCW » Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:04 am

What's the cause of weakening, the shear seems to be fine, it's fighting off the dry air, the water temperatures are plenty warm, I don't get it. The only thing I could think of is upwelling.
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#1791 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:04 am

Well so far we've had 5 majors which is actually a really impressive total in its own right!
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Re:

#1792 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:05 am

KWT wrote:Wow the Bouy almost got a direct hit and yet survived, fair play to it, how long did the strong winds last for it?

It's been at or above 35 knots for well over 24 hours now...here's a link to the chart showing the gust, wind speed and pressure:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php? ... _label=ADT
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#1793 Postby wxmann_91 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:07 am

hurricaneCW wrote:What's the cause of weakening, the shear seems to be fine, it's fighting off the dry air, the water temperatures are plenty warm, I don't get it. The only thing I could think of is upwelling.



Upwelling and dry air intrusion are good suspects. A hurricane as big as Igor does have a tendency to draw in some dry air once it gets into the midlatitudes.
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#1794 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:07 am

HCW, its a good question, maybe some more stable air has worked its way into the northern quadrant, I remember it had a squashed looking NW quadrant yesterday and maybe its just injested more of that air then yesterday...
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Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion

#1795 Postby TheBurn » Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:41 am

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Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion

#1796 Postby warmer » Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:42 am

hurricaneCW wrote:What's the cause of weakening, the shear seems to be fine, it's fighting off the dry air, the water temperatures are plenty warm, I don't get it. The only thing I could think of is upwelling.


Could it be the force from Julia (as little as that could be though)
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Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion

#1797 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 17, 2010 8:00 am

Wow Igor is a giant classic CV system, hopefully he will weaken some more as he approaches Bermuda. A few days ago he was a beauty!
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#1798 Postby cyclonic chronic » Fri Sep 17, 2010 8:36 am

recon is on the way.

im thinking that igor is so large that upweling is really taking a toll on his ability to maintain the structure/intensity of the past few days
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#1799 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 17, 2010 8:37 am

Probably a cat-2 now but its a little less ragged then it looked 6hrs ago with the northern part of the system looking a bit more convective again...

Still its going to be a large hurricane when it gets towards Bermuda, esp with the upper trough pulling at the systems northern quadrant the cloud coverage is going to be huge!

Will probably get cloud cover from Igor 36hrs before it even gets upto that sort of location
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#1800 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 17, 2010 8:46 am

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